Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:05:35

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 23.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 22.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-5.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,880.50
Current Value
$12,127.58
Period P&L
$-752.92
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.70

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
2 / 4
Best Trade
+0.88%
Worst Trade
-3.50%
Avg Trade Return
-0.99%
Avg Hold Time
14h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$149,931.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-752.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-752.92
Gross Return
-5.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,880.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $67.79 190 $12,880.10
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $68.39 190 $12,993.15 $12,993.55 +$113.05
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $68.59 189 $12,963.51
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $66.19 189 $12,509.91 $12,539.95 $-453.60
(-3.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET $61.87 202 $12,496.73
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $61.97 202 $12,518.95 $12,562.17 +$22.22
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $58.90 213 $12,545.70
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $57.81 213 $12,312.47 $12,328.93 $-233.24
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $64.29 191 $12,278.44
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $63.63 191 $12,154.28 $12,204.78 $-124.15
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $59.99 203 $12,177.97
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:40am ET $59.61 203 $12,100.77 $12,127.58 $-77.20
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,127.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,127.58
Total Return: +21.28%
Back to Grace Crossover