Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:07:01

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.6/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 23.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 23.3

30-Day Momentum

56
+18.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 67.0 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+33 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,198.61
Current Value
$13,987.71
Period P&L
$1,789.09
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+10.83%
Worst Trade
-4.41%
Avg Trade Return
+1.49%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$270,017.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,789.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,789.09
Gross Return
+14.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,198.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $36.25 336 $12,180.00
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:30am ET $37.05 336 $12,448.77 $12,467.39 +$268.77
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $44.36 281 $12,465.16
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $47.94 281 $13,469.74 $13,471.97 +$1,004.58
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $49.94 269 $13,433.89
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $49.70 269 $13,370.59 $13,408.67 $-63.30
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $47.09 284 $13,372.93
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $47.24 284 $13,417.58 $13,453.31 +$44.64
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $42.06 319 $13,417.14
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $44.08 319 $14,061.52 $14,097.69 +$644.38
(+4.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $29.61 476 $14,094.36
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $29.83 476 $14,199.03 $14,202.36 +$104.67
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $31.09 456 $14,179.32
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $29.73 456 $13,554.60 $13,577.64 $-624.72
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $29.27 463 $13,554.32
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $28.08 463 $13,003.35 $13,026.67 $-550.97
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $30.53 426 $13,005.78
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $33.83 426 $14,413.71 $14,434.60 +$1,407.93
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $34.23 421 $14,411.46
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $33.17 421 $13,964.57 $13,987.71 $-446.89
(-3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,987.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,987.71
Total Return: +39.88%
Back to Grace Crossover