Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.1%
30d Return
9%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,283.00
Current Value
$9,222.59
Period P&L
$-60.43
Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.45

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
1 / 10
Best Trade
+0.29%
Worst Trade
-0.67%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
17.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$202,536.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-60.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-60.43
Gross Return
-0.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,283.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $86.73 107 $9,280.11
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 12:40pm ET $86.15 107 $9,218.05 $9,258.41 $-62.06
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:30am ET $86.62 106 $9,181.72
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $86.88 106 $9,208.75 $9,285.44 +$27.03
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $86.44 107 $9,249.08
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $86.43 107 $9,248.54 $9,284.90 $-0.54
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $86.87 106 $9,208.22
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $86.83 106 $9,203.98 $9,280.66 $-4.24
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $87.04 106 $9,226.24
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:40am ET $86.99 106 $9,220.41 $9,274.83 $-5.83
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:50pm ET $86.82 106 $9,203.45
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:20pm ET $86.68 106 $9,188.61 $9,259.99 $-14.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $86.69 106 $9,189.14
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:30am ET $86.61 106 $9,181.19 $9,252.04 $-7.95
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:35pm ET $86.36 107 $9,241.05
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $86.29 107 $9,232.50 $9,243.48 $-8.56
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $85.85 107 $9,185.95
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $85.72 107 $9,172.57 $9,230.11 $-13.38
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $85.79 107 $9,179.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:25pm ET $85.74 107 $9,174.18 $9,225.29 $-4.82
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $84.93 108 $9,172.98
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $84.91 108 $9,170.28 $9,222.59 $-2.70
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,222.59
Net Profit/Loss: $-777.41
Total Return: -7.77%
Back to Grace Crossover