Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:09:46

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
29.6 oversold
20d Trend
-10.0%
5d Trend
-6.7%
EMA20 Dist
-7.6%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 4.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.7

30-Day Momentum

46
+6.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.4 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,192.19
Current Value
$9,130.26
Period P&L
$938.08
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+8.06%
Worst Trade
-0.69%
Avg Trade Return
+1.15%
Avg Hold Time
11.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$169,613.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$938.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$938.08
Gross Return
+11.45%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TMO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,192.19 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $450.16 18 $8,102.88
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $486.44 18 $8,755.92 $8,845.22 +$653.04
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 1:50pm ET $492.61 17 $8,374.29
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $489.20 17 $8,316.40 $8,787.34 $-57.88
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $472.74 18 $8,509.32
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:10pm ET $473.02 18 $8,514.45 $8,792.47 +$5.13
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:45am ET $473.68 18 $8,526.24
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:35am ET $473.56 18 $8,524.08 $8,790.31 $-2.16
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $483.33 18 $8,699.94
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $482.98 18 $8,693.73 $8,784.10 $-6.21
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $474.50 18 $8,541.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $472.76 18 $8,509.68 $8,752.78 $-31.32
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $472.60 18 $8,506.80
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $474.90 18 $8,548.20 $8,794.18 +$41.40
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:40am ET $463.58 18 $8,344.35
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:40am ET $461.91 18 $8,314.38 $8,764.21 $-29.97
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 11:40am ET $463.50 18 $8,342.98
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $462.83 18 $8,330.94 $8,752.17 $-12.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $466.11 18 $8,390.07
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $487.12 18 $8,768.16 $9,130.26 +$378.09
(+4.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,130.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-869.74
Total Return: -8.70%
Back to Grace Crossover