Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.5/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 25.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 25.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-9.5%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,724
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,881.48
Current Value
$14,372.71
Period P&L
$-1,508.77
Max Drawdown
-23.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.60

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
2 / 9
Best Trade
+1.58%
Worst Trade
-4.92%
Avg Trade Return
-0.89%
Avg Hold Time
12.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$325,304.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,508.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,508.77
Gross Return
-9.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $15,881.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $49.12 323 $15,865.76
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $48.67 323 $15,720.41 $15,736.13 $-145.35
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $44.54 353 $15,722.62
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $42.35 353 $14,948.31 $14,961.82 $-774.31
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $41.96 356 $14,937.76
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $41.69 356 $14,839.86 $14,863.92 $-97.90
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:35am ET $38.73 383 $14,832.02
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:20pm ET $38.80 383 $14,860.40 $14,892.30 +$28.38
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $37.63 395 $14,863.85
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:25pm ET $37.49 395 $14,808.55 $14,837.00 $-55.30
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $39.19 378 $14,813.56
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $38.72 378 $14,636.16 $14,659.60 $-177.40
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $39.58 370 $14,644.60
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:40am ET $39.21 370 $14,505.85 $14,520.85 $-138.75
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $39.08 371 $14,496.83
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $38.94 371 $14,448.59 $14,472.62 $-48.23
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $38.62 374 $14,443.92
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $38.15 374 $14,268.10 $14,296.80 $-175.82
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET $37.38 382 $14,279.16
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:05pm ET $37.97 382 $14,504.54 $14,522.18 +$225.38
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $36.72 395 $14,506.37
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $36.35 395 $14,356.91 $14,372.71 $-149.47
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,372.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,372.71
Total Return: +43.73%
Back to Grace Crossover