Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:16:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.9%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 5.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

21
+1.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.0 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,762
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,443.57
Current Value
$9,646.76
Period P&L
$203.25
Max Drawdown
-11.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+1.32%
Worst Trade
-0.34%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
16.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$187,873.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$203.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$203.25
Gross Return
+2.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VTI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,443.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $324.82 29 $9,419.78
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $323.71 29 $9,387.59 $9,441.77 $-32.19
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $335.55 28 $9,395.54
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $335.52 28 $9,394.56 $9,440.79 $-0.98
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $342.31 27 $9,242.37
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $343.48 27 $9,273.83 $9,472.25 +$31.46
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $345.90 27 $9,339.30
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $350.45 27 $9,462.15 $9,595.10 +$122.85
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $349.25 27 $9,429.75
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $350.33 27 $9,458.91 $9,624.26 +$29.16
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $350.15 27 $9,454.06
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $349.20 27 $9,428.53 $9,598.74 $-25.52
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $352.17 27 $9,508.46
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:20am ET $351.88 27 $9,500.76 $9,591.04 $-7.70
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $350.23 27 $9,456.08
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:05am ET $350.09 27 $9,452.40 $9,587.36 $-3.68
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $356.36 26 $9,265.24
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:10pm ET $356.01 26 $9,256.26 $9,578.38 $-8.98
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
10 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $359.23 26 $9,339.98
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 11:55am ET $361.86 26 $9,408.36 $9,646.76 +$68.38
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,646.76
Net Profit/Loss: $-353.24
Total Return: -3.53%
Back to Grace Crossover