Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:59:07

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.6%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,131.35
Current Value
$9,767.65
Period P&L
$-363.67
Max Drawdown
-13.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+2.03%
Worst Trade
-5.52%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
18h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$192,038.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-363.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-363.67
Gross Return
-3.59%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,131.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:15pm ET $60.12 168 $10,100.14
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $56.80 168 $9,542.40 $9,573.58 $-557.74
(-5.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET $56.93 168 $9,564.24
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $56.79 168 $9,541.56 $9,550.90 $-22.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $57.13 167 $9,541.54
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $56.35 167 $9,411.28 $9,420.64 $-130.26
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET $55.79 168 $9,372.72
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:55am ET $55.67 168 $9,353.40 $9,401.32 $-19.32
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $54.29 173 $9,393.03
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:05pm ET $55.40 173 $9,583.34 $9,591.62 +$190.30
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:25pm ET $56.43 169 $9,536.67
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET $56.63 169 $9,571.31 $9,626.26 +$34.64
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $56.85 169 $9,608.49
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $56.83 169 $9,603.43 $9,621.19 $-5.07
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $57.74 166 $9,585.67
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $58.76 166 $9,754.99 $9,790.51 +$169.32
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:45pm ET $59.51 164 $9,760.36
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $59.22 164 $9,712.08 $9,742.23 $-48.28
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 11:30am ET $59.38 164 $9,738.32
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $59.53 164 $9,763.74 $9,767.65 +$25.42
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,767.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-232.35
Total Return: -2.32%
Back to Grace Crossover