Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.1/35
Total Return
4.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 10.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.0

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.6%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,405.12
Current Value
$10,213.21
Period P&L
$-191.85
Max Drawdown
-6.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+1.90%
Worst Trade
-1.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$207,935.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-191.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-191.85
Gross Return
-1.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,405.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $49.54 209 $10,354.68
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $49.63 209 $10,371.63 $10,399.83 +$16.95
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $51.17 203 $10,388.52
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $50.99 203 $10,350.97 $10,362.28 $-37.55
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:25am ET $50.79 204 $10,361.16
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $51.76 204 $10,558.02 $10,559.14 +$196.86
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:45am ET $52.29 201 $10,511.29
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $52.08 201 $10,469.08 $10,516.93 $-42.21
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:10pm ET $52.59 199 $10,465.35
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:45pm ET $52.53 199 $10,452.48 $10,504.06 $-12.87
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $52.44 200 $10,489.00
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:35am ET $52.28 200 $10,455.00 $10,470.06 $-34.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:45am ET $52.13 200 $10,426.00
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $51.59 200 $10,318.00 $10,362.06 $-108.00
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $51.80 200 $10,360.00
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $52.03 200 $10,407.00 $10,409.06 +$47.00
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $51.88 200 $10,376.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $51.47 200 $10,294.00 $10,327.06 $-82.00
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:25am ET $52.13 198 $10,320.75
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:35am ET $51.55 198 $10,206.90 $10,213.21 $-113.85
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,213.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$213.21
Total Return: +2.13%
Back to Grace Crossover