Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 14:04:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

7
-5.8%
30d Return
11%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,812
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,930.88
Current Value
$8,097.20
Period P&L
$-833.75
Max Drawdown
-20.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
10 / 20
Best Trade
+5.97%
Worst Trade
-6.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
20h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$505,357.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-833.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-833.75
Gross Return
-9.34%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.34%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,930.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET $266.63 33 $8,798.79
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $268.04 33 $8,845.16 $8,977.30 +$46.36
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 12:20pm ET $260.29 34 $8,849.86
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:05pm ET $257.80 34 $8,765.20 $8,892.64 $-84.66
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $265.00 33 $8,745.00
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $263.10 33 $8,682.30 $8,829.94 $-62.70
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:10am ET $260.66 33 $8,601.78
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:40am ET $259.94 33 $8,578.02 $8,806.18 $-23.76
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:50am ET $259.14 33 $8,551.70
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:35am ET $256.91 33 $8,478.11 $8,732.59 $-73.59
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $245.88 35 $8,605.80
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $255.05 35 $8,926.75 $9,053.54 +$320.95
(+3.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $258.33 35 $9,041.38
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $255.44 35 $8,940.40 $8,952.56 $-100.98
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $260.89 34 $8,870.09
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $262.16 34 $8,913.44 $8,995.91 +$43.35
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $273.99 32 $8,767.68
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $274.53 32 $8,784.96 $9,013.19 +$17.28
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $281.99 31 $8,741.69
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $281.41 31 $8,723.71 $8,995.21 $-17.98
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:50am ET $281.99 31 $8,741.69
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $280.76 31 $8,703.56 $8,957.08 $-38.13
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $274.98 32 $8,799.20
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $270.93 32 $8,669.80 $8,827.68 $-129.40
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $270.32 32 $8,650.24
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $252.22 32 $8,071.04 $8,248.48 $-579.20
(-6.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $254.91 32 $8,157.12
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $255.58 32 $8,178.56 $8,269.92 +$21.44
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $247.76 33 $8,176.24
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $247.21 33 $8,157.93 $8,251.61 $-18.31
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $238.84 34 $8,120.56
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $238.84 34 $8,120.56 $8,251.61 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:45am ET $238.40 34 $8,105.60
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $241.17 34 $8,199.78 $8,345.79 +$94.18
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $235.27 35 $8,234.62
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:25pm ET $241.29 35 $8,445.15 $8,556.31 +$210.52
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 2:05pm ET $243.21 35 $8,512.35
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $242.63 35 $8,492.05 $8,536.01 $-20.30
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $243.33 35 $8,516.55
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $241.59 35 $8,455.65 $8,475.11 $-60.90
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $240.34 35 $8,411.90
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $230.57 35 $8,070.12 $8,133.34 $-341.77
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $226.16 35 $7,915.60
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:55am ET $239.67 35 $8,388.45 $8,606.19 +$472.85
(+6.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $244.47 35 $8,556.45
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $243.86 35 $8,535.10 $8,584.84 $-21.35
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $248.09 34 $8,434.89
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $246.35 34 $8,375.76 $8,525.71 $-59.13
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $252.88 33 $8,345.04
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $241.20 33 $7,959.60 $8,140.27 $-385.44
(-4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $245.70 33 $8,108.10
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $243.54 33 $8,036.82 $8,068.99 $-71.28
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:45am ET $242.91 33 $8,016.19
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:35pm ET $241.79 33 $7,979.07 $8,031.87 $-37.13
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $250.54 32 $8,017.28
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $249.37 32 $7,979.84 $7,994.43 $-37.44
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
29 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $253.49 31 $7,858.34
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $253.10 31 $7,846.10 $7,982.19 $-12.24
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
30 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $253.02 31 $7,843.62
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:55pm ET $256.73 31 $7,958.63 $8,097.20 +$115.01
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,097.20
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,902.80
Total Return: -19.03%
Back to Grace Crossover