Compendium › Grace Crossover › ARKK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARKK
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 28 trades in period

+17.62%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,046.22
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,241.21
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 20:29:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 23.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.4

30-Day Momentum

50
+8.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
4.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.1 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+27 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,241.21
Current Value
$12,046.22
Period P&L
$1,804.97
Max Drawdown
-13.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
13 / 15
Best Trade
+8.09%
Worst Trade
-4.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$633,534.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,804.97
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,804.97
Gross Return
+17.62%
Net Return (after fees)
+17.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,241.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $70.02 146 $10,222.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $70.50 146 $10,293.00 $10,311.33 +$70.08
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $68.97 149 $10,276.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $70.08 149 $10,441.92 $10,476.72 +$165.39
(+1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $65.26 160 $10,441.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $64.51 160 $10,321.60 $10,357.31 $-119.41
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $68.41 151 $10,329.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $67.83 151 $10,242.33 $10,269.73 $-87.58
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $68.45 150 $10,267.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $69.08 150 $10,362.75 $10,364.98 +$95.25
(+0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $69.19 149 $10,309.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:25am ET $74.79 149 $11,143.71 $11,199.38 +$834.40
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $76.71 145 $11,123.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $76.56 145 $11,101.20 $11,176.91 $-22.47
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:45am ET $78.83 141 $11,115.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $78.53 141 $11,072.73 $11,134.60 $-42.31
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
40m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $78.29 142 $11,116.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $78.86 142 $11,198.12 $11,216.25 +$81.65
(+0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $77.33 145 $11,213.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:20am ET $76.44 145 $11,083.80 $11,086.48 $-129.77
(-1.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $76.57 144 $11,026.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $76.51 144 $11,017.44 $11,077.84 $-8.64
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:35pm ET $73.30 151 $11,068.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $73.06 151 $11,032.06 $11,041.60 $-36.24
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
30m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $76.07 145 $11,030.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $77.78 145 $11,278.10 $11,289.55 +$247.95
(+2.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:00pm ET $76.73 147 $11,278.59 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:20am ET $78.97 147 $11,608.59 $11,619.55 +$330.00
(+2.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:20am ET $77.89 149 $11,605.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $80.18 149 $11,946.82 $11,960.77 +$341.22
(+2.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.2d held
16 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:35am ET $77.76 153 $11,897.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 1:55pm ET $78.24 153 $11,970.72 $12,034.21 +$73.44
(+0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
17 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $78.57 153 $12,021.97 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:45am ET $75.39 153 $11,534.67 $11,546.91 $-487.30
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held
18 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:00am ET $75.73 152 $11,510.96 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $73.60 152 $11,187.20 $11,223.15 $-323.76
(-2.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held
19 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $75.76 148 $11,212.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $75.25 148 $11,136.26 $11,146.93 $-76.22
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
20 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $77.36 144 $11,139.12 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $81.85 144 $11,786.40 $11,794.21 +$647.28
(+5.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $79.96 147 $11,754.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $79.85 147 $11,737.22 $11,777.31 $-16.90
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $78.10 150 $11,714.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:10pm ET $78.04 150 $11,705.25 $11,768.31 $-9.00
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $74.51 157 $11,698.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $75.84 157 $11,906.88 $11,976.33 +$208.02
(+1.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $73.97 161 $11,909.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:55am ET $74.94 161 $12,066.14 $12,133.30 +$156.97
(+1.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $74.21 163 $12,096.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:50am ET $74.98 163 $12,221.71 $12,258.78 +$125.48
(+1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $79.58 154 $12,255.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $79.45 154 $12,235.30 $12,238.76 $-20.02
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $80.12 152 $12,178.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:30am ET $79.20 152 $12,038.40 $12,098.92 $-139.84
(-1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $77.75 155 $12,052.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $77.42 155 $11,999.33 $12,046.22 $-52.70
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,046.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,046.22
Total Return: +20.46%
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