Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:30:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.1/10
Raw Quality 3.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.1

30-Day Momentum

7
-9.6%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,783
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,188.08
Current Value
$4,956.27
Period P&L
$-231.95
Max Drawdown
-53.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+8.52%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
14.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$284,737.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-231.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-231.95
Gross Return
-4.47%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $5,188.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $117.13 43 $5,036.59
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.23 43 $5,126.90 $5,188.20 +$90.31
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $128.00 40 $5,120.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $125.75 40 $5,030.00 $5,098.20 $-90.00
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $124.47 40 $4,978.80
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $129.01 40 $5,160.40 $5,279.80 +$181.60
(+3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:55pm ET $128.55 41 $5,270.55
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $127.72 41 $5,236.52 $5,245.77 $-34.03
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $128.94 40 $5,157.60
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $132.26 40 $5,290.60 $5,378.77 +$133.00
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $123.96 43 $5,330.28
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $123.71 43 $5,319.53 $5,368.02 $-10.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $120.09 44 $5,283.96
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $119.61 44 $5,262.62 $5,346.68 $-21.34
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET $113.61 47 $5,339.44
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $113.95 47 $5,355.65 $5,362.90 +$16.21
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET $122.81 43 $5,280.62
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET $121.63 43 $5,229.96 $5,312.24 $-50.66
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $115.09 46 $5,294.14
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $115.70 46 $5,322.20 $5,340.30 +$28.06
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $126.42 42 $5,309.64
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:50am ET $125.57 42 $5,273.94 $5,304.60 $-35.70
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:10am ET $129.20 41 $5,297.00
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:25am ET $127.77 41 $5,238.67 $5,246.27 $-58.33
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:55pm ET $136.10 38 $5,171.80
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $136.71 38 $5,194.98 $5,269.45 +$23.18
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $160.96 32 $5,150.72
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $158.79 32 $5,081.44 $5,200.17 $-69.28
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $145.02 35 $5,075.70
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $144.28 35 $5,049.80 $5,174.27 $-25.90
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.74 35 $5,030.73
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $155.98 35 $5,459.30 $5,602.84 +$428.57
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:30pm ET $147.93 37 $5,473.41
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $148.75 37 $5,503.75 $5,633.18 +$30.34
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:40am ET $147.40 38 $5,601.01
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $149.04 38 $5,663.33 $5,695.50 +$62.32
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $151.27 37 $5,596.99
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $149.80 37 $5,542.60 $5,641.11 $-54.39
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $160.60 35 $5,621.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $158.75 35 $5,556.18 $5,576.29 $-64.82
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $164.53 33 $5,429.59
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $165.78 33 $5,470.74 $5,617.44 +$41.15
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $175.73 31 $5,447.63
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $174.50 31 $5,409.50 $5,579.31 $-38.13
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $205.50 27 $5,548.50
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $204.09 27 $5,510.43 $5,541.24 $-38.07
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $234.23 23 $5,387.29
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $224.49 23 $5,163.27 $5,317.22 $-224.02
(-4.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $202.71 26 $5,270.46
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $194.24 26 $5,050.37 $5,097.13 $-220.09
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:45am ET $213.04 23 $4,899.81
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $212.91 23 $4,896.93 $5,094.26 $-2.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
27 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $228.92 22 $5,036.18
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $222.65 22 $4,898.19 $4,956.27 $-137.99
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,956.27
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,043.73
Total Return: -50.44%
Back to Grace Crossover