Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 18:43:50

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

84
+32.5%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
5.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 96.3 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+81 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,246.14
Current Value
$6,528.45
Period P&L
$1,282.17
Max Drawdown
-53.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
14 / 16
Best Trade
+12.19%
Worst Trade
-4.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.83%
Avg Hold Time
14.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$317,875.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,282.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,282.17
Gross Return
+24.44%
Net Return (after fees)
+24.44%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $5,246.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:55pm ET $136.10 38 $5,171.80
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $136.71 38 $5,194.98 $5,269.45 +$23.18
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $160.96 32 $5,150.72
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $158.79 32 $5,081.44 $5,200.17 $-69.28
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $145.02 35 $5,075.70
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $144.28 35 $5,049.80 $5,174.27 $-25.90
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $143.74 35 $5,030.73
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $155.98 35 $5,459.30 $5,602.84 +$428.57
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:30pm ET $147.93 37 $5,473.41
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $148.75 37 $5,503.75 $5,633.18 +$30.34
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:40am ET $147.40 38 $5,601.01
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $149.04 38 $5,663.33 $5,695.50 +$62.32
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $151.27 37 $5,596.99
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $149.80 37 $5,542.60 $5,641.11 $-54.39
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $160.60 35 $5,621.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $158.75 35 $5,556.18 $5,576.29 $-64.82
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $164.53 33 $5,429.59
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $165.78 33 $5,470.74 $5,617.44 +$41.15
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
6h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $175.73 31 $5,447.63
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $174.50 31 $5,409.50 $5,579.31 $-38.13
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $205.50 27 $5,548.50
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $204.09 27 $5,510.43 $5,541.24 $-38.07
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $234.23 23 $5,387.29
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $224.49 23 $5,163.27 $5,317.22 $-224.02
(-4.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $202.71 26 $5,270.46
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $194.24 26 $5,050.37 $5,097.13 $-220.09
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
14 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:45am ET $213.04 23 $4,899.81
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $212.91 23 $4,896.93 $5,094.26 $-2.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
15 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $228.92 22 $5,036.18
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $222.65 22 $4,898.19 $4,956.27 $-137.99
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 11:35am ET $215.26 23 $4,951.09
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $214.59 23 $4,935.58 $4,940.76 $-15.51
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
17 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:35pm ET $212.06 23 $4,877.38
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $212.34 23 $4,883.71 $4,947.09 +$6.33
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
18 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $222.35 22 $4,891.81
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $212.00 22 $4,663.98 $4,719.26 $-227.83
(-4.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
19 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 11:30am ET $209.02 22 $4,598.44
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $207.96 22 $4,575.23 $4,696.05 $-23.21
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
20 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $240.38 19 $4,567.19
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $252.60 19 $4,799.40 $4,928.26 +$232.21
(+5.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
21 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $309.09 15 $4,636.35
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $316.09 15 $4,741.35 $5,033.26 +$105.00
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
22 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $305.15 16 $4,882.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $304.10 16 $4,865.60 $5,016.46 $-16.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
23 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $352.64 14 $4,936.96
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $395.64 14 $5,538.96 $5,618.46 +$602.00
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $406.32 13 $5,282.16
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $410.00 13 $5,330.00 $5,666.30 +$47.84
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $390.24 14 $5,463.43
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $391.03 14 $5,474.42 $5,677.29 +$10.99
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $354.78 16 $5,676.48
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $353.02 16 $5,648.32 $5,649.13 $-28.16
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $317.11 17 $5,390.91
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:55am ET $320.74 17 $5,452.58 $5,710.80 +$61.67
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $332.00 17 $5,644.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $362.85 17 $6,168.45 $6,235.25 +$524.45
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:05am ET $381.33 16 $6,101.28
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $411.95 16 $6,591.12 $6,725.09 +$489.84
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $416.00 16 $6,656.00
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $403.71 16 $6,459.36 $6,528.45 $-196.64
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,528.45
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,471.55
Total Return: -34.72%
Back to Grace Crossover