Compendium › Grace Crossover › AVGO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AVGO
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 28 trades in period

+1.93%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,388.10
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$10,191.52
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:05:37

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
5.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 10.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 10.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.4%
30d Return
10%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,191.52
Current Value
$10,388.10
Period P&L
$196.58
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
9 / 19
Best Trade
+6.86%
Worst Trade
-4.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
21.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$590,540.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$196.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$196.58
Gross Return
+1.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,191.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $322.18 31 $9,987.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $319.58 31 $9,906.98 $10,136.18 $-80.60
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET $319.70 31 $9,910.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $304.81 31 $9,449.11 $9,674.44 $-461.74
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $293.50 32 $9,392.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $313.64 32 $10,036.32 $10,318.76 +$644.32
(+6.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:50am ET $313.54 32 $10,033.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $312.30 32 $9,993.60 $10,279.24 $-39.52
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $332.10 30 $9,962.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $349.37 30 $10,481.10 $10,797.49 +$518.25
(+5.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $360.98 29 $10,468.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $371.28 29 $10,767.12 $11,096.19 +$298.70
(+2.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $374.30 29 $10,854.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET $378.57 29 $10,978.53 $11,219.88 +$123.69
(+1.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $392.34 28 $10,985.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $396.36 28 $11,097.94 $11,332.30 +$112.42
(+1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $403.41 28 $11,295.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $403.05 28 $11,285.40 $11,322.22 $-10.08
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET $398.73 28 $11,164.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $400.39 28 $11,210.92 $11,368.56 +$46.34
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $416.55 27 $11,246.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $400.30 27 $10,808.23 $10,929.95 $-438.61
(-3.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET $400.88 27 $10,823.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 11:10am ET $399.71 27 $10,792.17 $10,898.36 $-31.59
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:20pm ET $420.76 25 $10,519.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $430.47 25 $10,761.73 $11,141.09 +$242.73
(+2.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $429.29 25 $10,732.25 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $427.61 25 $10,690.37 $11,099.21 $-41.88
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
15 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $412.88 26 $10,734.88 — — —
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:40am ET $410.58 26 $10,675.08 $11,039.41 $-59.80
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held
16 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $420.30 26 $10,927.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $409.71 26 $10,652.59 $10,764.20 $-275.21
(-2.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
17 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 1:45pm ET $414.63 25 $10,365.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $413.45 25 $10,336.25 $10,734.70 $-29.50
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
18 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $423.30 25 $10,582.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:20am ET $422.33 25 $10,558.25 $10,710.45 $-24.25
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
19 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $428.02 25 $10,700.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:20pm ET $427.06 25 $10,676.50 $10,686.45 $-24.00
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
20 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:20pm ET $437.57 24 $10,501.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:25pm ET $460.42 24 $11,050.08 $11,234.85 +$548.40
(+5.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $477.62 23 $10,985.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:50am ET $474.08 23 $10,903.84 $11,153.43 $-81.42
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $414.88 26 $10,786.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $407.52 26 $10,595.39 $10,961.94 $-191.49
(-1.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $402.68 27 $10,872.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $386.49 27 $10,435.23 $10,524.67 $-437.27
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:40am ET $376.74 27 $10,171.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:55am ET $375.25 27 $10,131.75 $10,484.44 $-40.23
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:00pm ET $381.74 27 $10,306.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $380.60 27 $10,276.20 $10,453.66 $-30.78
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $380.70 27 $10,278.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $379.55 27 $10,247.72 $10,422.61 $-31.05
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $409.76 25 $10,244.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:10pm ET $407.59 25 $10,189.75 $10,368.26 $-54.35
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $383.26 27 $10,347.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $383.99 27 $10,367.73 $10,388.10 +$19.84
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,388.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$388.10
Total Return: +3.88%
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