Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:38

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

35
+3.9%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.4 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,780
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,697.33
Current Value
$9,057.82
Period P&L
$360.45
Max Drawdown
-14.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
8 / 19
Best Trade
+4.03%
Worst Trade
-1.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
18h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$476,316.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$360.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$360.45
Gross Return
+4.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,697.33 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $60.81 143 $8,695.12
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $60.63 143 $8,669.38 $8,671.63 $-25.74
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET $60.69 142 $8,617.27
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $60.64 142 $8,610.88 $8,665.24 $-6.39
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $60.92 142 $8,650.64
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $60.64 142 $8,610.88 $8,625.48 $-39.76
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $59.76 144 $8,606.16
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 2:00pm ET $59.85 144 $8,619.12 $8,638.44 +$12.96
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $61.74 139 $8,581.17
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:30am ET $61.53 139 $8,552.67 $8,609.94 $-28.50
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 1:15pm ET $60.92 141 $8,589.02
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $62.33 141 $8,788.53 $8,809.46 +$199.52
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET $61.95 142 $8,796.90
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:50am ET $61.58 142 $8,744.36 $8,756.92 $-52.54
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:40pm ET $60.86 143 $8,702.98
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $60.65 143 $8,672.24 $8,726.17 $-30.75
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:40pm ET $60.06 145 $8,708.70
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:00am ET $59.65 145 $8,649.25 $8,666.72 $-59.45
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $59.81 144 $8,612.64
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $59.60 144 $8,582.40 $8,636.48 $-30.24
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:15pm ET $59.08 146 $8,625.68
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:25pm ET $58.99 146 $8,613.27 $8,624.07 $-12.41
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $59.43 145 $8,617.35
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:30pm ET $59.29 145 $8,597.05 $8,603.77 $-20.30
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $57.94 148 $8,575.49
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $57.34 148 $8,486.32 $8,514.60 $-89.17
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $57.38 148 $8,492.24
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $59.03 148 $8,737.18 $8,759.54 +$244.94
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $59.40 147 $8,732.53
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $60.10 147 $8,834.70 $8,861.70 +$102.16
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $61.88 143 $8,848.13
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $61.80 143 $8,837.40 $8,850.97 $-10.73
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:55am ET $59.57 148 $8,816.21
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:35am ET $59.29 148 $8,774.92 $8,809.68 $-41.29
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:45am ET $58.10 151 $8,773.10
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $58.76 151 $8,872.43 $8,909.01 +$99.33
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $58.96 151 $8,902.21
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:55pm ET $58.32 151 $8,806.32 $8,813.12 $-95.89
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:45pm ET $57.58 153 $8,809.74
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $59.90 153 $9,164.70 $9,168.08 +$354.96
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:30am ET $58.86 155 $9,123.30
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $59.47 155 $9,217.85 $9,262.63 +$94.55
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:30am ET $59.10 156 $9,219.60
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $59.04 156 $9,210.24 $9,253.27 $-9.36
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $58.24 158 $9,201.13
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:20am ET $58.07 158 $9,175.06 $9,227.20 $-26.07
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:20am ET $57.97 159 $9,217.23
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $58.01 159 $9,222.80 $9,232.76 +$5.56
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $60.37 152 $9,176.24
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:45pm ET $60.09 152 $9,133.68 $9,190.20 $-42.56
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
26 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $57.44 159 $9,133.75
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:40pm ET $57.22 159 $9,097.98 $9,154.43 $-35.77
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
27 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $57.21 160 $9,153.58
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $56.61 160 $9,056.98 $9,057.82 $-96.61
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,057.82
Net Profit/Loss: $-942.18
Total Return: -9.42%
Back to Grace Crossover