Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.5/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 22.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 22.4

30-Day Momentum

7
-4.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,215.37
Current Value
$12,743.63
Period P&L
$-471.78
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
10 / 15
Best Trade
+8.04%
Worst Trade
-4.37%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
17.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$689,791.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-471.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$-471.78
Gross Return
-3.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,215.37 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET $154.88 85 $13,164.80
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $165.00 85 $14,025.00 $14,075.61 +$860.20
(+6.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:45am ET $165.66 84 $13,915.44
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $166.29 84 $13,967.94 $14,128.11 +$52.50
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:55am ET $166.40 84 $13,977.18
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 12:50pm ET $163.63 84 $13,744.50 $13,895.43 $-232.68
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 10:35am ET $159.47 87 $13,873.89
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:45am ET $157.56 87 $13,707.72 $13,729.26 $-166.17
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:00am ET $185.18 74 $13,703.32
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:35am ET $182.59 74 $13,511.71 $13,537.65 $-191.61
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $175.47 77 $13,511.19
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:20pm ET $182.44 77 $14,047.88 $14,074.34 +$536.69
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $195.70 71 $13,894.70
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $211.44 71 $15,012.24 $15,191.88 +$1,117.54
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $204.75 74 $15,151.50
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $197.60 74 $14,622.40 $14,662.78 $-529.10
(-3.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $197.26 74 $14,597.24
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET $196.20 74 $14,518.80 $14,584.34 $-78.44
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $203.68 71 $14,461.28
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $197.71 71 $14,037.41 $14,160.47 $-423.87
(-2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $206.46 68 $14,039.28
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $210.19 68 $14,292.92 $14,414.11 +$253.64
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $200.70 71 $14,249.35
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $201.24 71 $14,287.69 $14,452.45 +$38.34
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $184.75 78 $14,410.50
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $184.99 78 $14,429.22 $14,471.17 +$18.72
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $173.70 83 $14,417.10
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $166.16 83 $13,791.28 $13,845.35 $-625.82
(-4.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $164.53 84 $13,820.52
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:05am ET $161.07 84 $13,529.88 $13,554.71 $-290.64
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $171.50 79 $13,548.50
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $175.31 79 $13,849.49 $13,855.70 +$300.99
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET $171.28 80 $13,702.40
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:00pm ET $172.01 80 $13,761.20 $13,914.50 +$58.80
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $168.03 82 $13,778.46
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $164.85 82 $13,518.11 $13,654.15 $-260.35
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $184.10 74 $13,623.03
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:50pm ET $189.49 74 $14,022.26 $14,053.38 +$399.23
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:25am ET $205.68 68 $13,986.24
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $196.70 68 $13,375.27 $13,442.41 $-610.97
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:10am ET $202.67 66 $13,376.22
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:55am ET $201.31 66 $13,286.46 $13,352.65 $-89.76
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:40am ET $201.07 66 $13,270.95
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $196.88 66 $12,994.41 $13,076.11 $-276.54
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:15pm ET $180.07 72 $12,965.05
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $178.79 72 $12,872.88 $12,983.94 $-92.17
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
24 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $192.50 67 $12,897.38
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $192.03 67 $12,866.01 $12,952.57 $-31.37
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
25 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $206.39 62 $12,796.18
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:50am ET $203.02 62 $12,587.24 $12,743.63 $-208.94
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,743.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,743.63
Total Return: +27.44%
Back to Grace Crossover