Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:04:59

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
7.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 15.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 15.3

30-Day Momentum

23
+1.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.8 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,725.88
Current Value
$10,288.93
Period P&L
$-436.94
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
9 / 19
Best Trade
+2.77%
Worst Trade
-2.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
21.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$590,868.50
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-436.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-436.94
Gross Return
-4.07%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,725.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $129.49 82 $10,618.18
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:15pm ET $133.08 82 $10,912.56 $11,020.25 +$294.38
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $135.20 81 $10,951.20
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $134.27 81 $10,875.87 $10,944.92 $-75.33
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:20pm ET $131.00 83 $10,873.00
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $128.15 83 $10,636.04 $10,707.96 $-236.96
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:50am ET $130.56 82 $10,705.92
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET $130.16 82 $10,673.12 $10,675.16 $-32.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $124.36 85 $10,570.60
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:20am ET $126.17 85 $10,724.03 $10,828.59 +$153.43
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $122.57 88 $10,786.60
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $121.89 88 $10,726.32 $10,768.31 $-60.28
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $118.60 90 $10,674.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $118.25 90 $10,642.50 $10,736.81 $-31.50
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:55am ET $117.07 91 $10,653.37
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $116.86 91 $10,634.53 $10,717.97 $-18.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $121.01 88 $10,648.88
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:50pm ET $123.78 88 $10,892.64 $10,961.73 +$243.76
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $126.95 86 $10,917.70
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $123.95 86 $10,659.70 $10,703.73 $-258.00
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
11 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $119.07 89 $10,597.23
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $118.61 89 $10,555.86 $10,662.36 $-41.37
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
12 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $115.67 92 $10,641.64
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 10:10am ET $113.98 92 $10,486.16 $10,506.88 $-155.48
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
13 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $116.58 90 $10,492.20
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:00am ET $117.33 90 $10,559.70 $10,574.38 +$67.50
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held
14 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $121.75 86 $10,470.50
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:35am ET $120.74 86 $10,383.21 $10,487.09 $-87.29
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
15 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $125.00 83 $10,375.00
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 1:30pm ET $125.04 83 $10,378.32 $10,490.41 +$3.32
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
16 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 2:55pm ET $122.82 85 $10,439.70
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $122.45 85 $10,408.25 $10,458.96 $-31.45
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
17 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $120.76 86 $10,385.36
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $120.49 86 $10,362.14 $10,435.74 $-23.22
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
18 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:15am ET $115.87 90 $10,428.30
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:55pm ET $115.84 90 $10,425.51 $10,432.95 $-2.79
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
19 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $114.80 90 $10,332.00
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $114.31 90 $10,287.45 $10,388.40 $-44.55
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $117.36 88 $10,327.68
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $118.82 88 $10,455.72 $10,516.44 +$128.04
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:30pm ET $119.13 88 $10,483.44
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:10pm ET $118.91 88 $10,464.08 $10,497.08 $-19.36
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $118.36 88 $10,415.68
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:45am ET $118.91 88 $10,464.08 $10,545.48 +$48.40
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:50pm ET $116.21 90 $10,458.90
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $115.74 90 $10,416.15 $10,502.73 $-42.75
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:05am ET $117.23 89 $10,433.47
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 1:10pm ET $117.44 89 $10,452.16 $10,521.42 +$18.69
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $112.81 93 $10,490.87
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $112.60 93 $10,471.80 $10,502.35 $-19.07
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:40am ET $111.08 94 $10,441.52
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $110.83 94 $10,418.49 $10,479.32 $-23.03
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:05pm ET $107.94 97 $10,470.18
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $109.07 97 $10,580.27 $10,589.41 +$110.09
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $110.10 96 $10,569.60
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $106.97 96 $10,269.12 $10,288.93 $-300.48
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,288.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$288.93
Total Return: +2.89%
Back to Grace Crossover