Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:49:02

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
10.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 24.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 24.9

30-Day Momentum

11
+0.2%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,810
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,641.98
Current Value
$11,646.54
Period P&L
$4.53
Max Drawdown
-8.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
11 / 15
Best Trade
+1.92%
Worst Trade
-1.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
19.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$572,066.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$4.53
Gross Return
+0.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,641.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $998.86 11 $10,987.46
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $997.12 11 $10,968.32 $11,622.87 $-19.14
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $975.60 11 $10,731.65
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $982.34 11 $10,805.69 $11,696.90 +$74.03
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $1,022.88 11 $11,251.68
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:30am ET $1,016.84 11 $11,185.19 $11,630.41 $-66.49
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:45pm ET $988.26 11 $10,870.86
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $981.66 11 $10,798.26 $11,557.81 $-72.60
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $995.45 11 $10,949.95
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $994.33 11 $10,937.63 $11,545.49 $-12.32
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $995.38 11 $10,949.18
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:30am ET $993.64 11 $10,930.04 $11,526.35 $-19.14
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $1,001.67 11 $11,018.37
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET $1,006.81 11 $11,074.91 $11,582.89 +$56.54
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,005.78 11 $11,063.58
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $1,009.58 11 $11,105.33 $11,624.63 +$41.74
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $982.30 11 $10,805.30
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $981.02 11 $10,791.22 $11,610.55 $-14.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $999.68 11 $10,996.53
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $997.55 11 $10,973.05 $11,587.06 $-23.49
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET $1,004.88 11 $11,053.68
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 10:35am ET $1,000.95 11 $11,010.45 $11,543.83 $-43.23
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,001.72 11 $11,018.92
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,005.22 11 $11,057.42 $11,582.33 +$38.50
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:15pm ET $976.27 11 $10,738.97
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:25pm ET $975.01 11 $10,725.11 $11,568.47 $-13.86
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $985.66 11 $10,842.31
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $970.39 11 $10,674.29 $11,400.45 $-168.02
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:40am ET $977.56 11 $10,753.16
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:40am ET $980.17 11 $10,781.87 $11,429.16 +$28.71
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $983.92 11 $10,823.12
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $992.51 11 $10,917.61 $11,523.65 +$94.49
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $995.63 11 $10,951.93
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,007.21 11 $11,079.31 $11,651.03 +$127.38
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $1,009.59 11 $11,105.49
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:25am ET $1,028.99 11 $11,318.89 $11,864.43 +$213.40
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $985.46 12 $11,825.46
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $970.03 12 $11,640.36 $11,679.33 $-185.10
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:50pm ET $988.58 11 $10,874.33
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $986.11 11 $10,847.21 $11,652.21 $-27.12
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,005.47 11 $11,060.12
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:25am ET $1,008.62 11 $11,094.82 $11,686.91 +$34.70
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $1,009.77 11 $11,107.47
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,008.82 11 $11,097.02 $11,676.46 $-10.45
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $998.06 11 $10,978.66
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:40pm ET $993.81 11 $10,931.91 $11,629.71 $-46.75
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
24 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:00am ET $1,013.11 11 $11,144.21
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:50am ET $1,014.90 11 $11,163.90 $11,649.40 +$19.69
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
25 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,014.00 11 $11,154.00
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,016.12 11 $11,177.32 $11,672.72 +$23.32
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
26 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:00am ET $997.68 11 $10,974.48
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 11:35am ET $995.30 11 $10,948.30 $11,646.54 $-26.18
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,646.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,646.54
Total Return: +16.47%
Back to Grace Crossover