Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:06:19

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.4/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 23.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 22.8

30-Day Momentum

6
-0.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,236.57
Current Value
$12,335.36
Period P&L
$1,098.83
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
13 / 16
Best Trade
+8.10%
Worst Trade
-5.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
18.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$686,236.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,098.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,098.83
Gross Return
+9.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,236.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $186.20 60 $11,172.00
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:10am ET $183.51 60 $11,010.60 $11,075.13 $-161.40
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $185.46 59 $10,941.85
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $184.89 59 $10,908.51 $11,041.79 $-33.34
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:50pm ET $186.00 59 $10,974.00
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $186.05 59 $10,976.95 $11,044.74 +$2.95
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:30pm ET $185.50 59 $10,944.50
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $185.34 59 $10,935.06 $11,035.30 $-9.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $186.21 59 $10,986.39
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $178.39 59 $10,525.01 $10,573.92 $-461.38
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $164.82 64 $10,548.48
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $172.45 64 $11,036.80 $11,062.24 +$488.32
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $174.40 63 $10,987.20
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $180.09 63 $11,345.67 $11,420.71 +$358.47
(+3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $182.85 62 $11,336.70
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $186.26 62 $11,548.43 $11,632.44 +$211.73
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $188.82 61 $11,518.02
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $187.92 61 $11,463.12 $11,577.54 $-54.90
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $172.87 66 $11,409.42
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $175.04 66 $11,552.64 $11,720.76 +$143.22
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $182.81 64 $11,699.84
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 11:10am ET $182.21 64 $11,661.76 $11,682.68 $-38.08
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:50am ET $180.32 64 $11,540.16
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $179.87 64 $11,511.36 $11,653.88 $-28.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $175.89 66 $11,608.74
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $190.13 66 $12,548.58 $12,593.72 +$939.84
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $185.13 68 $12,589.18
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $184.78 68 $12,565.04 $12,569.58 $-24.14
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $185.88 67 $12,453.96
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $186.25 67 $12,478.75 $12,594.37 +$24.79
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
16 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $177.46 70 $12,421.85
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $168.21 70 $11,774.70 $11,947.22 $-647.15
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
17 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:05am ET $166.58 71 $11,827.18
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $167.74 71 $11,909.89 $12,029.93 +$82.71
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.4h held
18 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $176.19 68 $11,980.92
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:55am ET $177.59 68 $12,076.12 $12,125.13 +$95.20
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
19 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:30pm ET $180.99 66 $11,945.34
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 2:55pm ET $180.17 66 $11,891.22 $12,071.01 $-54.12
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
20 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $176.08 68 $11,973.44
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.24 68 $12,255.98 $12,353.55 +$282.54
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
21 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $181.18 68 $12,320.24
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $178.30 68 $12,124.40 $12,157.71 $-195.84
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.1h held
22 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.33 67 $12,082.11
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $192.16 67 $12,874.72 $12,950.32 +$792.61
(+6.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $198.29 65 $12,888.85
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $194.71 65 $12,656.47 $12,717.95 $-232.37
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $189.85 66 $12,530.10
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $189.39 66 $12,499.74 $12,687.59 $-30.36
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $186.76 67 $12,512.92
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $186.35 67 $12,485.45 $12,660.12 $-27.47
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $174.42 72 $12,558.24
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $170.62 72 $12,284.64 $12,386.52 $-273.60
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:35pm ET $166.26 74 $12,302.87
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:05pm ET $166.29 74 $12,305.83 $12,389.48 +$2.96
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $165.63 74 $12,256.62
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:00am ET $164.85 74 $12,198.90 $12,331.76 $-57.72
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $153.22 80 $12,257.60
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 10:10am ET $153.26 80 $12,261.20 $12,335.36 +$3.60
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,335.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,335.36
Total Return: +23.35%
Back to Grace Crossover