Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 07:57:07

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 27.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 27.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-4.4%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$16,075.81
Current Value
$14,217.94
Period P&L
$-1,857.92
Max Drawdown
-20.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
7 / 17
Best Trade
+2.60%
Worst Trade
-5.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
13.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$719,486.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,857.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,857.92
Gross Return
-11.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $16,075.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $397.71 40 $15,908.40
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $408.04 40 $16,321.40 $16,488.86 +$413.00
(+2.6%)
📅 Sim Ended
5.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $419.52 39 $16,361.47
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $419.33 39 $16,353.87 $16,481.25 $-7.61
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $348.00 47 $16,355.99
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $350.48 47 $16,472.79 $16,598.06 +$116.81
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 2:05pm ET $378.77 43 $16,287.11
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $368.35 43 $15,839.05 $16,150.00 $-448.06
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $423.40 38 $16,089.39
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:45pm ET $420.31 38 $15,971.78 $16,032.39 $-117.61
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:35pm ET $439.43 36 $15,819.48
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:15am ET $440.77 36 $15,867.54 $16,080.45 +$48.06
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:45pm ET $439.17 36 $15,810.12
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $428.20 36 $15,415.29 $15,685.62 $-394.83
(-2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 3:45pm ET $431.48 36 $15,533.46
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET $433.22 36 $15,595.92 $15,748.08 +$62.46
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:00pm ET $426.76 36 $15,363.36
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $423.56 36 $15,248.16 $15,632.88 $-115.20
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $411.76 37 $15,235.01
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $411.16 37 $15,212.92 $15,610.79 $-22.09
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $396.08 39 $15,447.12
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $395.73 39 $15,433.47 $15,597.14 $-13.65
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:50pm ET $392.77 39 $15,318.03
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $370.43 39 $14,446.77 $14,725.88 $-871.26
(-5.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $379.57 38 $14,423.66
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 11:30am ET $384.18 38 $14,599.03 $14,901.25 +$175.37
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $396.21 37 $14,659.77
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $395.46 37 $14,632.02 $14,873.50 $-27.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $396.10 37 $14,655.77
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $376.59 37 $13,933.83 $14,151.56 $-721.94
(-4.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $401.42 35 $14,049.53
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $400.71 35 $14,024.85 $14,126.88 $-24.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.87 35 $13,925.45
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $404.73 35 $14,165.64 $14,367.07 +$240.19
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $416.64 34 $14,165.59
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $423.41 34 $14,395.94 $14,597.42 +$230.35
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:15pm ET $450.88 32 $14,428.16
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $447.58 32 $14,322.72 $14,491.98 $-105.44
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $444.74 32 $14,231.68
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $443.00 32 $14,176.00 $14,436.30 $-55.68
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $456.44 31 $14,149.64
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $455.51 31 $14,120.81 $14,407.47 $-28.83
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 11:10am ET $446.28 32 $14,280.96
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $444.14 32 $14,212.48 $14,338.99 $-68.48
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
23 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:20pm ET $469.30 30 $14,079.15
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:00am ET $468.00 30 $14,040.00 $14,299.84 $-39.15
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
24 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $469.79 30 $14,093.70
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $467.06 30 $14,011.80 $14,217.94 $-81.90
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,217.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,217.94
Total Return: +42.18%
Back to Grace Crossover