Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.5/35
Total Return
12.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.8/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 32.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 32.3

30-Day Momentum

42
+4.3%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.7 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,088.86
Current Value
$13,204.67
Period P&L
$1,115.84
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
13 / 13
Best Trade
+2.20%
Worst Trade
-1.84%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
17.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$658,079.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,115.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,115.84
Gross Return
+9.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,088.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $182.23 66 $12,026.85
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:40pm ET $182.15 66 $12,021.57 $12,083.55 $-5.28
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $184.85 65 $12,015.25
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $185.20 65 $12,037.68 $12,105.98 +$22.43
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $180.26 67 $12,077.09
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $182.94 67 $12,256.98 $12,285.87 +$179.89
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 2:15pm ET $185.80 66 $12,262.62
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $185.64 66 $12,252.24 $12,275.49 $-10.38
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $184.79 66 $12,196.14
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $184.50 66 $12,177.00 $12,256.35 $-19.14
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 12:50pm ET $183.71 66 $12,124.86
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $182.76 66 $12,062.16 $12,193.65 $-62.70
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:45am ET $184.71 66 $12,190.53
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $188.23 66 $12,423.18 $12,426.30 +$232.65
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $186.17 66 $12,287.22
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $188.12 66 $12,415.92 $12,555.00 +$128.70
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $190.54 65 $12,385.10
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:25pm ET $189.93 65 $12,345.13 $12,515.03 $-39.97
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:50pm ET $195.77 63 $12,333.51
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:35am ET $196.05 63 $12,351.46 $12,532.98 +$17.95
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:40am ET $197.20 63 $12,423.60
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $199.49 63 $12,567.87 $12,677.25 +$144.27
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:50am ET $199.98 63 $12,598.74
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $204.01 63 $12,852.63 $12,931.14 +$253.89
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $205.96 62 $12,769.52
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET $205.45 62 $12,737.90 $12,899.52 $-31.62
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $213.26 60 $12,795.60
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $213.19 60 $12,791.40 $12,895.32 $-4.20
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:25pm ET $205.95 62 $12,768.90
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $202.17 62 $12,534.54 $12,660.96 $-234.36
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $197.80 64 $12,659.20
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:50am ET $202.16 64 $12,938.24 $12,940.00 +$279.04
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $190.47 67 $12,761.49
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:20am ET $194.02 67 $12,999.01 $13,177.52 +$237.52
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $188.17 70 $13,171.90
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $187.46 70 $13,122.55 $13,128.17 $-49.35
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $190.95 68 $12,984.26
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $188.85 68 $12,841.80 $12,985.71 $-142.46
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $186.79 69 $12,888.52
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $187.70 69 $12,951.30 $13,048.49 +$62.78
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $183.71 71 $13,043.41
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET $187.06 71 $13,281.26 $13,286.34 +$237.85
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $186.40 71 $13,234.05
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $185.69 71 $13,183.99 $13,236.28 $-50.06
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $184.96 71 $13,132.16
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $184.83 71 $13,122.93 $13,227.05 $-9.23
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $190.10 69 $13,116.90
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $191.52 69 $13,214.88 $13,325.03 +$97.98
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $193.35 68 $13,147.80
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $191.06 68 $12,992.08 $13,169.31 $-155.72
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
26 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:40pm ET $192.45 68 $13,086.60
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $192.97 68 $13,121.96 $13,204.67 +$35.36
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,204.67
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,204.67
Total Return: +32.05%
Back to Grace Crossover