Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 05:08:40

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 22.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 22.2

30-Day Momentum

22
+2.5%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,836
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,677.35
Current Value
$12,690.05
Period P&L
$1,012.64
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
11 / 19
Best Trade
+8.58%
Worst Trade
-4.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
13.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$740,799.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,012.64
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,012.64
Gross Return
+8.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,677.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $24.29 480 $11,659.20
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $24.19 480 $11,609.09 $11,627.30 $-50.11
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:35am ET $21.52 540 $11,623.50
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:10am ET $21.48 540 $11,599.20 $11,603.00 $-24.30
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:05am ET $20.84 556 $11,587.04
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $22.51 556 $12,515.56 $12,531.52 +$928.52
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:00am ET $23.00 544 $12,512.00
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $22.81 544 $12,405.92 $12,425.44 $-106.08
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:35pm ET $23.02 539 $12,407.78
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $22.95 539 $12,372.74 $12,390.40 $-35.04
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:50am ET $22.45 551 $12,370.01
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:15am ET $22.23 551 $12,245.98 $12,266.37 $-124.03
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $22.85 536 $12,247.60
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:05pm ET $23.14 536 $12,400.36 $12,419.13 +$152.76
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $23.84 520 $12,399.40
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $23.51 520 $12,225.20 $12,244.93 $-174.20
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $23.24 526 $12,224.24
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:40am ET $23.19 526 $12,197.94 $12,218.63 $-26.30
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $22.11 552 $12,207.48
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $22.01 552 $12,149.52 $12,160.67 $-57.96
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 11:55am ET $23.45 518 $12,147.10
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $23.55 518 $12,196.31 $12,209.88 +$49.21
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $23.11 528 $12,204.72
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 2:10pm ET $23.05 528 $12,170.45 $12,175.61 $-34.27
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $23.02 528 $12,157.20
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $23.38 528 $12,344.64 $12,363.05 +$187.44
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $23.84 518 $12,349.12
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $24.18 518 $12,525.24 $12,539.17 +$176.12
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
15 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $25.95 483 $12,536.26
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:35am ET $24.88 483 $12,017.04 $12,019.94 $-519.23
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:40am ET $24.90 482 $12,001.80
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $25.27 482 $12,179.56 $12,197.70 +$177.76
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
17 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 11:35am ET $24.92 489 $12,188.32
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $24.92 489 $12,183.48 $12,192.86 $-4.84
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
18 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $25.17 484 $12,179.86
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $25.72 484 $12,448.48 $12,461.48 +$268.62
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
19 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 11:10am ET $25.32 492 $12,457.44
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:50am ET $25.15 492 $12,373.80 $12,377.84 $-83.64
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
20 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:30am ET $25.84 478 $12,353.91
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 11:35am ET $25.90 478 $12,380.20 $12,404.13 +$26.29
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
21 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 10:00am ET $25.14 493 $12,394.02
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:25am ET $25.16 493 $12,401.42 $12,411.53 +$7.40
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
22 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:25am ET $24.19 513 $12,409.47
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $24.57 513 $12,601.85 $12,603.91 +$192.38
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $25.56 493 $12,598.62
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $24.85 493 $12,253.51 $12,258.81 $-345.10
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $25.39 482 $12,235.57
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $24.82 482 $11,960.83 $11,984.07 $-274.74
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $24.89 481 $11,969.69
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:40am ET $27.02 481 $12,996.62 $13,011.01 +$1,026.94
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $29.13 446 $12,989.75
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $29.02 446 $12,945.15 $12,966.41 $-44.60
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $29.68 436 $12,940.48
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $29.62 436 $12,914.32 $12,940.25 $-26.16
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:30am ET $29.21 443 $12,940.03
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:55am ET $29.07 443 $12,878.01 $12,878.23 $-62.02
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:45am ET $28.83 446 $12,860.41
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $28.57 446 $12,739.99 $12,757.81 $-120.42
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $26.33 484 $12,741.30
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $26.18 484 $12,673.54 $12,690.05 $-67.76
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,690.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,690.05
Total Return: +26.90%
Back to Grace Crossover