Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.1%
30d Return
10%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,791
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,834.72
Current Value
$8,009.06
Period P&L
$-825.62
Max Drawdown
-19.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.48

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
3 / 28
Best Trade
+2.11%
Worst Trade
-1.84%
Avg Trade Return
-0.32%
Avg Hold Time
10.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$522,622.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-825.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$-825.62
Gross Return
-9.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,834.72 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $150.89 58 $8,751.62
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $150.61 58 $8,735.38 $8,818.43 $-16.24
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $152.46 57 $8,690.22
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $155.68 57 $8,873.48 $9,001.68 +$183.25
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $154.28 58 $8,948.24
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 1:55pm ET $151.44 58 $8,783.52 $8,836.96 $-164.72
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $152.02 58 $8,817.16
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:50am ET $151.43 58 $8,783.23 $8,803.03 $-33.93
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:00pm ET $148.02 59 $8,733.47
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:35am ET $147.45 59 $8,699.55 $8,769.11 $-33.92
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $143.81 60 $8,628.60
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 2:55pm ET $143.55 60 $8,613.00 $8,753.51 $-15.60
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $149.49 58 $8,670.42
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $149.32 58 $8,660.56 $8,743.65 $-9.86
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $147.57 59 $8,706.63
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $147.23 59 $8,686.57 $8,723.59 $-20.06
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $144.21 60 $8,652.60
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $144.13 60 $8,647.80 $8,718.79 $-4.80
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $144.73 60 $8,683.65
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET $144.23 60 $8,653.50 $8,688.64 $-30.15
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $148.77 58 $8,628.95
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $148.38 58 $8,606.04 $8,665.73 $-22.91
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:50am ET $145.46 59 $8,582.14
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:15pm ET $146.09 59 $8,619.02 $8,702.61 +$36.88
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:45am ET $145.99 59 $8,613.41
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:05am ET $145.01 59 $8,555.59 $8,644.79 $-57.82
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 10:40am ET $144.94 59 $8,551.46
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET $144.53 59 $8,527.27 $8,620.60 $-24.19
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 12:30pm ET $142.23 60 $8,533.80
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:50am ET $140.86 60 $8,451.60 $8,538.40 $-82.20
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $138.71 61 $8,461.31
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $138.10 61 $8,424.11 $8,501.20 $-37.20
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $137.43 61 $8,383.23
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $137.10 61 $8,363.10 $8,481.07 $-20.13
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:15am ET $138.62 61 $8,455.82
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $137.72 61 $8,400.92 $8,426.17 $-54.90
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:20am ET $135.34 62 $8,390.77
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $134.74 62 $8,353.88 $8,389.28 $-36.89
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $138.13 60 $8,287.50
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:55pm ET $137.96 60 $8,277.60 $8,379.38 $-9.90
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $141.10 59 $8,324.61
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $139.10 59 $8,207.19 $8,261.97 $-117.41
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET $139.20 59 $8,212.51
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $138.57 59 $8,175.63 $8,225.10 $-36.88
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET $141.13 58 $8,185.54
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 10:35am ET $140.90 58 $8,172.20 $8,211.76 $-13.34
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:55am ET $139.26 58 $8,077.08
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:35pm ET $140.12 58 $8,126.96 $8,261.64 +$49.88
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $139.87 59 $8,252.04
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:15am ET $139.46 59 $8,228.14 $8,237.75 $-23.89
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 11:45am ET $137.93 59 $8,138.16
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $137.76 59 $8,127.55 $8,227.13 $-10.62
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $136.49 60 $8,189.40
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $136.33 60 $8,179.80 $8,217.53 $-9.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:55am ET $133.49 61 $8,142.59
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:40am ET $132.96 61 $8,110.56 $8,185.51 $-32.02
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $130.37 62 $8,082.94
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $128.40 62 $7,960.49 $8,063.06 $-122.45
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:55pm ET $131.46 61 $8,019.36
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 11:05am ET $130.63 61 $7,968.43 $8,012.13 $-50.93
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
31 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $132.15 60 $7,928.77
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $132.10 60 $7,925.70 $8,009.06 $-3.07
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,009.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,990.94
Total Return: -19.91%
Back to Grace Crossover