Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:00:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.9%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,801
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,956.64
Current Value
$9,882.25
Period P&L
$-74.39
Max Drawdown
-11.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
8 / 20
Best Trade
+2.94%
Worst Trade
-1.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
11.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$549,596.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-74.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-74.39
Gross Return
-0.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,956.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $379.93 26 $9,878.18
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $381.28 26 $9,913.28 $9,991.73 +$35.10
(+0.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:35am ET $388.66 25 $9,716.50
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $388.67 25 $9,716.75 $9,991.98 +$0.25
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $382.82 26 $9,953.32
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $381.95 26 $9,930.70 $9,969.36 $-22.62
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $382.50 26 $9,945.00
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET $379.90 26 $9,877.40 $9,901.76 $-67.60
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $380.40 26 $9,890.40
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $379.65 26 $9,870.90 $9,882.26 $-19.50
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 1:05pm ET $374.46 26 $9,736.09
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:25am ET $377.67 26 $9,819.42 $9,965.59 +$83.33
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 12:55pm ET $372.35 26 $9,681.10
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $371.15 26 $9,649.90 $9,934.39 $-31.20
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:25am ET $365.99 27 $9,881.73
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $365.05 27 $9,856.35 $9,909.01 $-25.38
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 11:35am ET $357.58 27 $9,654.66
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $357.45 27 $9,651.28 $9,905.64 $-3.38
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $348.24 28 $9,750.72
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $358.46 28 $10,037.02 $10,191.94 +$286.30
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET $342.88 29 $9,943.52
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:20am ET $340.81 29 $9,883.49 $10,131.91 $-60.03
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $343.14 29 $9,951.06
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $342.84 29 $9,942.36 $10,123.21 $-8.70
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $327.90 30 $9,837.00
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET $326.45 30 $9,793.50 $10,079.71 $-43.50
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $332.16 30 $9,964.80
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $331.92 30 $9,957.60 $10,072.51 $-7.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $337.02 29 $9,773.72
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $332.17 29 $9,632.79 $9,931.57 $-140.94
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:55am ET $326.66 30 $9,799.80
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $325.43 30 $9,762.90 $9,894.67 $-36.90
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:15am ET $321.68 30 $9,650.40
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $324.41 30 $9,732.30 $9,976.57 +$81.90
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 2:05pm ET $336.28 29 $9,752.12
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $335.51 29 $9,729.65 $9,954.10 $-22.47
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $336.99 29 $9,772.85
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $336.76 29 $9,765.90 $9,947.14 $-6.96
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $341.60 29 $9,906.40
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $341.05 29 $9,890.59 $9,931.33 $-15.81
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $343.00 28 $9,604.00
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $349.42 28 $9,783.76 $10,111.09 +$179.76
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $345.32 29 $10,014.28
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $344.51 29 $9,990.65 $10,087.45 $-23.64
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:35am ET $339.61 29 $9,848.83
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $338.87 29 $9,827.23 $10,065.85 $-21.60
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $336.89 29 $9,769.95
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $334.49 29 $9,700.21 $9,996.11 $-69.74
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $328.98 30 $9,869.40
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $325.11 30 $9,753.30 $9,880.01 $-116.10
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:40pm ET $327.37 30 $9,821.10
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:30am ET $327.48 30 $9,824.55 $9,883.46 +$3.45
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:15am ET $314.18 31 $9,739.58
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $314.32 31 $9,743.92 $9,887.80 +$4.34
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
28 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:05am ET $324.30 30 $9,729.00
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:25pm ET $324.11 30 $9,723.45 $9,882.25 $-5.55
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,882.25
Net Profit/Loss: $-117.75
Total Return: -1.18%
Back to Grace Crossover