Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:05:37

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

31
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.7/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 32.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 31.5

30-Day Momentum

22
+3.7%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.2 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,417.10
Current Value
$15,971.89
Period P&L
$554.81
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
9 / 19
Best Trade
+8.59%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Trade Return
+0.18%
Avg Hold Time
18.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$880,180.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$554.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$554.81
Gross Return
+3.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $15,417.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $72.05 213 $15,346.65
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $72.92 213 $15,531.96 $15,602.39 +$185.31
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $70.25 222 $15,595.50
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $68.74 222 $15,260.28 $15,267.17 $-335.22
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $67.33 226 $15,216.69
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:05am ET $66.25 226 $14,972.50 $15,022.98 $-244.19
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $69.01 217 $14,974.63
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $69.74 217 $15,133.58 $15,181.93 +$158.95
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $73.26 207 $15,164.82
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $69.95 207 $14,479.65 $14,496.76 $-685.17
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET $69.89 207 $14,467.23
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $68.21 207 $14,118.44 $14,147.97 $-348.79
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $78.39 180 $14,110.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:50am ET $85.13 180 $15,322.50 $15,360.27 +$1,212.30
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET $86.43 177 $15,298.11
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $91.79 177 $16,246.83 $16,308.99 +$948.72
(+6.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $90.13 180 $16,223.42
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $89.60 180 $16,128.00 $16,213.57 $-95.42
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $88.40 183 $16,178.11
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:25am ET $88.56 183 $16,206.48 $16,241.93 +$28.36
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $84.72 191 $16,181.52
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET $83.40 191 $15,930.35 $15,990.76 $-251.17
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:00pm ET $82.05 194 $15,917.70
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $82.22 194 $15,950.68 $16,023.74 +$32.98
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:05pm ET $72.85 219 $15,954.76
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $74.69 219 $16,357.11 $16,426.09 +$402.35
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $77.23 212 $16,372.76
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:15pm ET $77.20 212 $16,366.40 $16,419.73 $-6.36
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
15 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $77.83 210 $16,344.30
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:40am ET $74.68 210 $15,681.98 $15,757.41 $-662.32
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
16 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $77.57 203 $15,746.71
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 11:45am ET $76.83 203 $15,596.49 $15,607.19 $-150.22
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 1:20pm ET $77.06 202 $15,565.11
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $76.61 202 $15,476.23 $15,518.31 $-88.88
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
18 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:50pm ET $75.82 204 $15,466.32
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $75.65 204 $15,432.60 $15,484.59 $-33.72
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
19 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:45am ET $76.42 202 $15,436.84
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:55am ET $75.98 202 $15,347.96 $15,395.71 $-88.88
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
20 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $75.54 203 $15,333.61
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $74.73 203 $15,170.19 $15,232.29 $-163.42
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET $90.14 168 $15,144.36
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $89.73 168 $15,074.64 $15,162.57 $-69.72
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $81.04 187 $15,154.48
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $84.46 187 $15,794.02 $15,802.11 +$639.54
(+4.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $82.15 192 $15,772.80
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:40am ET $89.11 192 $17,109.12 $17,138.43 +$1,336.32
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:40am ET $88.15 194 $17,102.07
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:00am ET $87.13 194 $16,903.22 $16,939.58 $-198.85
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:45pm ET $93.42 181 $16,908.12
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $92.88 181 $16,810.38 $16,841.84 $-97.74
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $99.51 169 $16,817.19
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 11:00am ET $95.11 169 $16,073.52 $16,098.17 $-743.67
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:40am ET $106.84 150 $16,026.00
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $106.52 150 $15,978.00 $16,050.17 $-48.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 11:00am ET $105.21 152 $15,992.68
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $104.70 152 $15,914.40 $15,971.89 $-78.28
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,971.89
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,971.89
Total Return: +59.72%
Back to Grace Crossover