Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:30:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

27
+1.9%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 33.0 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,783
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,022.49
Current Value
$8,636.36
Period P&L
$-386.16
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
10 / 16
Best Trade
+2.01%
Worst Trade
-1.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
19.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$443,206.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-386.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-386.16
Gross Return
-4.28%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,022.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $294.48 30 $8,834.25
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $296.67 30 $8,900.10 $9,088.37 +$65.85
(+0.8%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET $258.77 35 $9,056.78
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $258.01 35 $9,030.35 $9,061.94 $-26.43
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $260.39 34 $8,853.26
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $256.00 34 $8,704.00 $8,912.68 $-149.26
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $256.89 34 $8,734.26
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $256.73 34 $8,728.82 $8,907.24 $-5.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $235.34 37 $8,707.40
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:40am ET $231.34 37 $8,559.58 $8,759.42 $-147.82
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $238.29 36 $8,578.44
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $238.05 36 $8,569.80 $8,750.78 $-8.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:30am ET $238.55 36 $8,587.80
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $238.25 36 $8,577.00 $8,739.98 $-10.80
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $239.21 36 $8,611.56
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $238.01 36 $8,568.36 $8,696.78 $-43.20
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $257.91 33 $8,511.03
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $255.84 33 $8,442.72 $8,628.47 $-68.31
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $254.39 33 $8,394.87
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $253.46 33 $8,364.26 $8,597.86 $-30.61
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $248.85 34 $8,460.90
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $247.25 34 $8,406.50 $8,543.46 $-54.40
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:20am ET $247.73 34 $8,422.73
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:35am ET $247.40 34 $8,411.43 $8,532.16 $-11.30
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $253.94 33 $8,380.02
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:25am ET $250.76 33 $8,275.08 $8,427.22 $-104.94
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $247.32 34 $8,409.05
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET $248.75 34 $8,457.50 $8,475.67 +$48.45
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $240.74 35 $8,425.90
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET $240.81 35 $8,428.35 $8,478.12 +$2.45
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $236.17 35 $8,265.95
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET $237.49 35 $8,312.15 $8,524.32 +$46.20
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $245.21 34 $8,336.97
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:05am ET $243.60 34 $8,282.40 $8,469.75 $-54.57
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $245.98 34 $8,363.32
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $246.05 34 $8,365.70 $8,472.13 +$2.38
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $244.63 34 $8,317.59
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $245.17 34 $8,335.78 $8,490.32 +$18.19
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $237.09 35 $8,298.15
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $236.18 35 $8,266.30 $8,458.47 $-31.85
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $233.43 36 $8,403.30
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:15am ET $232.68 36 $8,376.48 $8,431.65 $-26.82
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $240.10 35 $8,403.50
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $244.92 35 $8,572.20 $8,600.35 +$168.70
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.72 34 $8,524.48
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET $252.94 34 $8,599.85 $8,675.72 +$75.37
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $253.28 34 $8,611.51
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:50am ET $255.00 34 $8,670.00 $8,734.21 +$58.49
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $228.44 38 $8,680.72
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $229.56 38 $8,723.28 $8,776.77 +$42.56
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
26 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:15am ET $233.04 37 $8,622.66
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $229.25 37 $8,482.25 $8,636.36 $-140.41
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,636.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,363.64
Total Return: -13.64%
Back to Grace Crossover