Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 13:46:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 4.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.9%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,966
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,398.46
Current Value
$8,174.34
Period P&L
$-224.15
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
14 / 14
Best Trade
+3.04%
Worst Trade
-4.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
19.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$466,318.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-224.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-224.15
Gross Return
-2.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,398.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 1:20pm ET $247.32 34 $8,409.05
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET $248.75 34 $8,457.50 $8,475.67 +$48.45
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $240.74 35 $8,425.90
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:05am ET $240.81 35 $8,428.35 $8,478.12 +$2.45
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $236.17 35 $8,265.95
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:50am ET $237.49 35 $8,312.15 $8,524.32 +$46.20
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET $245.21 34 $8,336.97
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:05am ET $243.60 34 $8,282.40 $8,469.75 $-54.57
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $245.98 34 $8,363.32
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $246.05 34 $8,365.70 $8,472.13 +$2.38
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $244.63 34 $8,317.59
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:05am ET $245.17 34 $8,335.78 $8,490.32 +$18.19
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $237.09 35 $8,298.15
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $236.18 35 $8,266.30 $8,458.47 $-31.85
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $233.43 36 $8,403.30
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:15am ET $232.68 36 $8,376.48 $8,431.65 $-26.82
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $240.10 35 $8,403.50
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $244.92 35 $8,572.20 $8,600.35 +$168.70
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.72 34 $8,524.48
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET $252.94 34 $8,599.85 $8,675.72 +$75.37
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:05pm ET $253.28 34 $8,611.51
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:50am ET $255.00 34 $8,670.00 $8,734.21 +$58.49
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $228.44 38 $8,680.72
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $229.56 38 $8,723.28 $8,776.77 +$42.56
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:15am ET $233.04 37 $8,622.66
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $229.25 37 $8,482.25 $8,636.36 $-140.41
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held
14 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $227.97 37 $8,434.89
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:40pm ET $229.38 37 $8,487.15 $8,688.62 +$52.26
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
15 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $223.66 38 $8,499.27
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:40am ET $213.73 38 $8,121.74 $8,311.09 $-377.53
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held
16 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $218.98 37 $8,102.26
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 2:55pm ET $219.38 37 $8,117.06 $8,325.89 +$14.80
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $222.65 37 $8,238.05
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:20am ET $223.74 37 $8,278.38 $8,366.22 +$40.33
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
18 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $257.65 32 $8,244.80
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:00pm ET $256.67 32 $8,213.44 $8,334.86 $-31.36
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
19 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:45pm ET $255.79 32 $8,185.44
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $263.57 32 $8,434.24 $8,583.66 +$248.80
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:50am ET $321.72 26 $8,364.72
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $317.09 26 $8,244.34 $8,463.28 $-120.38
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:35am ET $306.70 27 $8,280.77
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:50am ET $305.47 27 $8,247.69 $8,430.20 $-33.08
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $285.35 29 $8,275.15
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $283.83 29 $8,230.93 $8,385.98 $-44.22
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $281.94 29 $8,176.26
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $281.22 29 $8,155.38 $8,365.10 $-20.88
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $278.64 30 $8,359.07
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET $276.25 30 $8,287.50 $8,293.53 $-71.57
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:45am ET $272.54 30 $8,176.20
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $271.90 30 $8,157.15 $8,274.48 $-19.05
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:05pm ET $273.15 30 $8,194.50
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $270.14 30 $8,104.20 $8,184.18 $-90.30
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $270.70 30 $8,121.00
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $270.26 30 $8,107.80 $8,170.98 $-13.20
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $249.07 32 $7,970.08
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $249.17 32 $7,973.44 $8,174.34 +$3.36
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,174.34
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,825.66
Total Return: -18.26%
Back to Grace Crossover