Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:30:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 14.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 14.5

30-Day Momentum

7
+0.0%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.8 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,782
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,801.88
Current Value
$10,615.79
Period P&L
$-185.98
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
7 / 20
Best Trade
+3.76%
Worst Trade
-1.63%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
5.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$565,167.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-185.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-185.98
Gross Return
-1.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,801.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $492.51 21 $10,342.71
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $492.74 21 $10,347.54 $10,806.60 +$4.83
(+0.1%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:55am ET $494.53 21 $10,385.13
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:15pm ET $494.58 21 $10,386.28 $10,807.75 +$1.15
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $491.96 21 $10,331.16
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $490.45 21 $10,299.45 $10,776.04 $-31.71
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:40am ET $501.63 21 $10,534.13
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 11:20am ET $500.27 21 $10,505.57 $10,747.48 $-28.56
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $502.01 21 $10,542.21
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $500.29 21 $10,505.99 $10,711.25 $-36.23
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $489.93 21 $10,288.58
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:05am ET $489.25 21 $10,274.25 $10,696.92 $-14.33
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $502.17 21 $10,545.57
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $501.39 21 $10,529.19 $10,680.54 $-16.38
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $492.32 21 $10,338.72
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $491.79 21 $10,327.59 $10,669.41 $-11.13
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:25am ET $485.64 21 $10,198.54
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $485.89 21 $10,203.79 $10,674.66 +$5.25
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $490.02 21 $10,290.34
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:55am ET $486.61 21 $10,218.81 $10,603.13 $-71.53
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 1:35pm ET $479.97 22 $10,559.36
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 2:35pm ET $479.06 22 $10,539.32 $10,583.09 $-20.04
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $478.56 22 $10,528.32
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $481.36 22 $10,590.03 $10,644.80 +$61.71
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:00pm ET $487.59 21 $10,239.39
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $486.54 21 $10,217.34 $10,622.75 $-22.05
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:50am ET $481.14 22 $10,584.97
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:35am ET $479.27 22 $10,543.99 $10,581.77 $-40.98
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $488.14 21 $10,251.04
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $480.86 21 $10,098.06 $10,428.78 $-152.99
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $472.47 22 $10,394.34
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $471.55 22 $10,374.16 $10,408.60 $-20.18
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 11:20am ET $455.79 22 $10,027.27
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $466.10 22 $10,254.20 $10,635.53 +$226.93
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:45am ET $454.33 23 $10,449.70
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET $453.36 23 $10,427.28 $10,613.10 $-22.43
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET $450.35 23 $10,358.05
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:15pm ET $450.58 23 $10,363.23 $10,618.28 +$5.18
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $451.48 23 $10,384.04
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:15pm ET $468.46 23 $10,774.69 $11,008.93 +$390.65
(+3.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $456.60 24 $10,958.40
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $455.55 24 $10,933.20 $10,983.73 $-25.20
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:50am ET $470.11 23 $10,812.53
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:40am ET $469.02 23 $10,787.46 $10,958.66 $-25.07
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $456.07 24 $10,945.68
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $455.00 24 $10,920.00 $10,932.98 $-25.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $486.29 22 $10,698.27
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $484.35 22 $10,655.70 $10,890.41 $-42.57
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $467.64 23 $10,755.72
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $460.00 23 $10,580.00 $10,714.69 $-175.72
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $460.11 23 $10,582.53
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $458.39 23 $10,542.97 $10,675.13 $-39.56
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $450.00 23 $10,350.00
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $447.42 23 $10,290.66 $10,615.79 $-59.34
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,615.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$615.79
Total Return: +6.16%
Back to Grace Crossover