Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:21:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.2/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 23.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.1

30-Day Momentum

39
+4.0%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.3 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,793
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,347.82
Current Value
$11,424.98
Period P&L
$77.15
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
11 / 18
Best Trade
+3.35%
Worst Trade
-2.32%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
17.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$633,651.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$77.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$77.15
Gross Return
+0.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,347.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:10am ET $265.11 42 $11,134.41
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $266.61 42 $11,197.62 $11,411.04 +$63.21
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $268.50 42 $11,277.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET $265.97 42 $11,170.74 $11,304.78 $-106.26
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET $262.51 43 $11,287.93
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $261.38 43 $11,239.34 $11,256.19 $-48.59
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:10pm ET $265.68 42 $11,158.63
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $262.56 42 $11,027.52 $11,125.08 $-131.11
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $264.37 42 $11,103.54
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $263.21 42 $11,054.82 $11,076.36 $-48.72
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $263.55 42 $11,069.10
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:10am ET $263.08 42 $11,049.57 $11,056.83 $-19.53
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:55am ET $264.97 41 $10,863.77
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $262.39 41 $10,757.99 $10,951.05 $-105.78
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:40am ET $257.14 42 $10,799.88
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $261.55 42 $10,985.31 $11,136.48 +$185.43
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $255.90 43 $11,003.70
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $251.21 43 $10,802.03 $10,934.81 $-201.67
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:20am ET $247.88 44 $10,906.72
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:50am ET $247.38 44 $10,884.72 $10,912.81 $-22.00
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 10:45am ET $253.90 42 $10,664.01
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:15am ET $252.23 42 $10,593.66 $10,842.46 $-70.35
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:55am ET $248.75 43 $10,696.25
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 1:55pm ET $248.18 43 $10,671.95 $10,818.16 $-24.30
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $246.55 43 $10,601.65
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $245.98 43 $10,577.14 $10,793.65 $-24.51
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $249.91 43 $10,746.34
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $249.98 43 $10,749.14 $10,796.45 +$2.80
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:10am ET $245.83 43 $10,570.69
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:25am ET $245.19 43 $10,543.17 $10,768.93 $-27.52
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $246.68 43 $10,607.24
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $247.73 43 $10,652.39 $10,814.08 +$45.15
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $248.61 43 $10,690.23
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $248.67 43 $10,692.81 $10,816.66 +$2.58
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:25am ET $251.31 43 $10,806.33
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $245.47 43 $10,555.21 $10,565.54 $-251.12
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $243.51 43 $10,470.93
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:45pm ET $251.67 43 $10,821.81 $10,916.42 +$350.88
(+3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:10pm ET $250.16 43 $10,756.88
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $251.68 43 $10,822.24 $10,981.78 +$65.36
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:25pm ET $252.06 43 $10,838.58
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:40pm ET $251.40 43 $10,810.20 $10,953.40 $-28.38
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:00am ET $260.06 42 $10,922.52
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $261.80 42 $10,995.60 $11,026.48 +$73.08
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $268.71 41 $11,017.31
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:40am ET $268.64 41 $11,014.24 $11,023.41 $-3.07
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $269.32 40 $10,772.80
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $276.10 40 $11,044.00 $11,294.61 +$271.20
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $275.68 40 $11,027.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET $276.08 40 $11,043.20 $11,310.41 +$15.80
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $275.68 41 $11,302.88
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:55am ET $274.46 41 $11,252.86 $11,260.39 $-50.02
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $276.88 40 $11,075.20
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $276.70 40 $11,067.80 $11,252.99 $-7.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $273.74 41 $11,223.34
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET $278.25 41 $11,408.25 $11,437.90 +$184.91
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
29 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $277.86 41 $11,392.06
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $277.54 41 $11,379.14 $11,424.98 $-12.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,424.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,424.98
Total Return: +14.25%
Back to Grace Crossover