Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

18
+1.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.9 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,793
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,900.90
Current Value
$9,731.01
Period P&L
$-169.85
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
8 / 18
Best Trade
+1.93%
Worst Trade
-2.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
22.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$504,185.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-169.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-169.85
Gross Return
-1.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,900.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $239.43 41 $9,816.83
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $238.95 41 $9,796.95 $9,900.86 $-19.89
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:20am ET $238.93 41 $9,795.93
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:50am ET $238.53 41 $9,779.73 $9,884.66 $-16.20
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $242.99 40 $9,719.60
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $243.36 40 $9,734.40 $9,899.46 +$14.80
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 12:25pm ET $245.35 40 $9,814.00
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:45am ET $245.71 40 $9,828.52 $9,913.98 +$14.52
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $246.59 40 $9,863.78
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $244.95 40 $9,797.80 $9,848.00 $-65.98
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $243.56 40 $9,742.40
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:35am ET $248.26 40 $9,930.20 $10,035.80 +$187.80
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $246.20 40 $9,848.00
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $245.63 40 $9,825.00 $10,012.80 $-23.00
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:20pm ET $237.33 42 $9,967.86
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $236.70 42 $9,941.40 $9,986.34 $-26.46
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:20pm ET $242.78 41 $9,953.98
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET $241.74 41 $9,911.48 $9,943.83 $-42.51
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET $245.06 40 $9,802.36
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:20am ET $243.82 40 $9,752.80 $9,894.27 $-49.56
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $242.82 40 $9,712.80
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:20am ET $237.71 40 $9,508.40 $9,689.87 $-204.40
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $237.70 40 $9,508.00
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $236.00 40 $9,440.00 $9,621.87 $-68.00
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $235.62 40 $9,424.80
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $233.43 40 $9,337.20 $9,534.27 $-87.60
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $236.76 40 $9,470.40
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $240.66 40 $9,626.40 $9,690.27 +$156.00
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET $241.30 40 $9,652.00
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $241.35 40 $9,654.00 $9,692.27 +$2.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $243.15 39 $9,482.66
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET $242.57 39 $9,460.23 $9,669.85 $-22.42
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $238.80 40 $9,552.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $243.08 40 $9,723.20 $9,841.05 +$171.20
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:55pm ET $237.73 41 $9,746.93
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $236.56 41 $9,698.96 $9,793.08 $-47.97
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $234.85 41 $9,628.65
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $234.85 41 $9,628.85 $9,793.29 +$0.21
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $225.85 43 $9,711.55
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $225.33 43 $9,689.19 $9,770.93 $-22.36
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $228.26 42 $9,586.92
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $227.71 42 $9,563.82 $9,747.83 $-23.10
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $225.74 43 $9,707.03
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $225.50 43 $9,696.50 $9,737.30 $-10.53
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:20am ET $226.24 43 $9,728.11
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:25pm ET $227.64 43 $9,788.52 $9,797.71 +$60.41
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
24 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:20am ET $229.63 42 $9,644.25
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:40am ET $229.24 42 $9,628.08 $9,781.54 $-16.17
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
25 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $225.07 43 $9,678.22
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $224.79 43 $9,665.97 $9,769.28 $-12.26
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
26 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $223.92 43 $9,628.56
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $223.03 43 $9,590.29 $9,731.01 $-38.27
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,731.01
Net Profit/Loss: $-268.99
Total Return: -2.69%
Back to Grace Crossover