Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 16:35:06

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
3.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 9.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.0

30-Day Momentum

4
-0.3%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,621.91
Current Value
$10,259.55
Period P&L
$637.68
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+3.67%
Worst Trade
-0.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
19.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$529,255.95
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$637.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$637.68
Gross Return
+6.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,621.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $235.62 40 $9,424.80
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $233.43 40 $9,337.20 $9,534.27 $-87.60
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $236.76 40 $9,470.40
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 2:00pm ET $240.66 40 $9,626.40 $9,690.27 +$156.00
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:45am ET $241.30 40 $9,652.00
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $241.35 40 $9,654.00 $9,692.27 +$2.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $243.15 39 $9,482.66
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET $242.57 39 $9,460.23 $9,669.85 $-22.42
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:50pm ET $238.80 40 $9,552.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $243.08 40 $9,723.20 $9,841.05 +$171.20
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:55pm ET $237.73 41 $9,746.93
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $236.56 41 $9,698.96 $9,793.08 $-47.97
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $234.85 41 $9,628.65
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $234.85 41 $9,628.85 $9,793.29 +$0.21
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:25pm ET $225.85 43 $9,711.55
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $225.33 43 $9,689.19 $9,770.93 $-22.36
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $228.26 42 $9,586.92
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $227.71 42 $9,563.82 $9,747.83 $-23.10
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $225.74 43 $9,707.03
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $225.50 43 $9,696.50 $9,737.30 $-10.53
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:20am ET $226.24 43 $9,728.11
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:25pm ET $227.64 43 $9,788.52 $9,797.71 +$60.41
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:20am ET $229.63 42 $9,644.25
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:40am ET $229.24 42 $9,628.08 $9,781.54 $-16.17
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $225.07 43 $9,678.22
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:25pm ET $224.79 43 $9,665.97 $9,769.28 $-12.26
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:15pm ET $223.92 43 $9,628.56
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $223.03 43 $9,590.29 $9,731.01 $-38.27
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
15 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:15am ET $222.37 43 $9,561.91
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $221.41 43 $9,520.63 $9,689.73 $-41.28
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5h held
16 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $221.37 43 $9,518.91
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $229.50 43 $9,868.50 $10,039.32 +$349.59
(+3.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $227.79 44 $10,022.54
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:05am ET $226.94 44 $9,985.36 $10,002.14 $-37.18
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
18 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:20pm ET $229.66 43 $9,875.38
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 11:00am ET $230.00 43 $9,890.00 $10,016.76 +$14.62
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
19 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:10am ET $229.65 43 $9,874.84
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $234.11 43 $10,066.73 $10,208.65 +$191.89
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
20 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $231.90 44 $10,203.60
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $231.74 44 $10,196.56 $10,201.61 $-7.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:05pm ET $222.54 45 $10,014.30
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $222.19 45 $9,998.55 $10,185.86 $-15.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:25am ET $224.05 45 $10,082.25
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $224.00 45 $10,080.00 $10,183.61 $-2.25
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:20am ET $234.15 43 $10,068.45
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $236.91 43 $10,187.13 $10,302.29 +$118.68
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $239.85 42 $10,073.70
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $238.91 42 $10,034.22 $10,262.81 $-39.48
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $236.81 43 $10,182.83
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $236.25 43 $10,158.75 $10,238.73 $-24.08
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $235.35 43 $10,120.26
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $233.90 43 $10,057.49 $10,175.95 $-62.78
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:10pm ET $228.82 44 $10,068.08
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $230.72 44 $10,151.68 $10,259.55 +$83.60
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,259.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$259.55
Total Return: +2.60%
Back to Grace Crossover