Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.0/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 25.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 24.5

30-Day Momentum

7
-1.5%
30d Return
11%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,098.94
Current Value
$11,931.48
Period P&L
$-167.44
Max Drawdown
-9.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
7 / 21
Best Trade
+2.11%
Worst Trade
-0.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
15.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$661,949.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-167.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-167.44
Gross Return
-1.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,098.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $325.43 37 $12,040.91
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET $324.35 37 $12,000.95 $12,058.96 $-39.96
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $318.27 37 $11,775.99
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $317.08 37 $11,731.96 $12,014.93 $-44.03
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $303.68 39 $11,843.71
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:15pm ET $305.43 39 $11,911.77 $12,082.98 +$68.05
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:50am ET $309.03 39 $12,052.17
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 2:40pm ET $306.56 39 $11,955.84 $11,986.65 $-96.33
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $297.58 40 $11,903.20
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $295.65 40 $11,826.20 $11,909.65 $-77.00
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $304.73 39 $11,884.47
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:45am ET $305.36 39 $11,909.23 $11,934.41 +$24.76
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $296.65 40 $11,866.00
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $296.14 40 $11,845.60 $11,914.01 $-20.40
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $299.23 39 $11,669.78
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET $297.96 39 $11,620.44 $11,864.67 $-49.34
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:55am ET $283.60 41 $11,627.60
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $284.00 41 $11,644.00 $11,881.07 +$16.40
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $287.00 41 $11,767.03
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $286.07 41 $11,728.87 $11,842.91 $-38.16
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $281.80 42 $11,835.49
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET $285.05 42 $11,972.10 $11,979.52 +$136.61
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $285.86 41 $11,720.26
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $285.62 41 $11,710.42 $11,969.68 $-9.84
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:50am ET $287.63 41 $11,792.83
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $287.21 41 $11,775.61 $11,952.46 $-17.22
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:25pm ET $285.98 41 $11,725.18
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 10:20am ET $287.17 41 $11,774.17 $12,001.45 +$48.99
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $291.92 41 $11,968.72
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $291.41 41 $11,947.81 $11,980.54 $-20.91
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $294.93 40 $11,797.20
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $293.36 40 $11,734.40 $11,917.74 $-62.80
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $292.05 40 $11,681.80
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $291.64 40 $11,665.60 $11,901.54 $-16.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $288.33 41 $11,821.73
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:35am ET $294.42 41 $12,071.38 $12,151.19 +$249.65
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $294.31 41 $12,066.71
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $293.25 41 $12,023.25 $12,107.73 $-43.46
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:30am ET $295.65 40 $11,826.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:15am ET $294.99 40 $11,799.60 $12,081.33 $-26.40
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $307.32 39 $11,985.48
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $306.94 39 $11,970.66 $12,066.51 $-14.82
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:15am ET $309.66 38 $11,767.08
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $307.47 38 $11,683.86 $11,983.29 $-83.22
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:50am ET $312.83 38 $11,887.73
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:15am ET $311.37 38 $11,832.06 $11,927.62 $-55.67
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 1:45pm ET $306.00 38 $11,627.91
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $305.44 38 $11,606.72 $11,906.43 $-21.19
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $313.40 37 $11,595.80
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET $316.66 37 $11,716.42 $12,027.05 +$120.62
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $312.87 38 $11,889.06
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $310.94 38 $11,815.72 $11,953.71 $-73.34
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:35pm ET $308.70 38 $11,730.79
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $308.24 38 $11,713.12 $11,936.04 $-17.67
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
28 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $313.37 38 $11,908.06
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:40pm ET $313.25 38 $11,903.50 $11,931.48 $-4.56
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,931.48
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,931.48
Total Return: +19.31%
Back to Grace Crossover