Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:59:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.9/35
Total Return
12.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

41
+3.7%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.2 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,800
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,164.97
Current Value
$13,413.62
Period P&L
$248.63
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
11 / 15
Best Trade
+2.57%
Worst Trade
-1.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
16.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$659,140.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$248.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$248.63
Gross Return
+1.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,164.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,052.71 12 $12,632.58
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $1,050.40 12 $12,604.74 $13,137.15 $-27.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $1,047.41 12 $12,568.92
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET $1,047.19 12 $12,566.28 $13,134.51 $-2.64
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:15am ET $1,016.03 12 $12,192.36
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:55am ET $1,018.04 12 $12,216.54 $13,158.69 +$24.18
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,052.33 12 $12,627.96
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $1,039.13 12 $12,469.56 $13,000.29 $-158.40
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET $1,048.86 12 $12,586.33
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 10:10am ET $1,043.68 12 $12,524.16 $12,938.12 $-62.17
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $1,011.38 12 $12,136.52
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 10:25am ET $1,037.38 12 $12,448.56 $13,250.16 +$312.04
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 12:05pm ET $1,006.51 13 $13,084.57
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,000.47 13 $13,006.05 $13,171.64 $-78.52
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $1,004.49 13 $13,058.37
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,002.04 13 $13,026.52 $13,139.79 $-31.85
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $972.23 13 $12,638.99
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $967.49 13 $12,577.37 $13,078.17 $-61.62
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:50am ET $989.72 13 $12,866.30
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $995.79 13 $12,945.27 $13,157.14 +$78.97
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:05am ET $999.00 13 $12,987.00
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:30am ET $995.00 13 $12,935.00 $13,105.14 $-52.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 2:20pm ET $978.41 13 $12,719.33
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:25am ET $988.99 13 $12,856.87 $13,242.68 +$137.54
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $984.04 13 $12,792.52
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $984.60 13 $12,799.80 $13,249.96 +$7.28
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:00am ET $917.21 14 $12,840.92
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $918.18 14 $12,854.52 $13,263.56 +$13.60
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $917.48 14 $12,844.72
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $901.53 14 $12,621.49 $13,040.33 $-223.23
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $906.24 14 $12,687.43
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $901.59 14 $12,622.26 $12,975.16 $-65.17
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $888.73 14 $12,442.18
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:30am ET $887.61 14 $12,426.54 $12,959.52 $-15.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:00pm ET $936.06 13 $12,168.78
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $934.52 13 $12,148.70 $12,939.44 $-20.08
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:55am ET $916.97 14 $12,837.58
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $927.17 14 $12,980.38 $13,082.24 +$142.80
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 10:50am ET $949.86 13 $12,348.18
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $957.51 13 $12,447.63 $13,181.69 +$99.45
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $930.32 14 $13,024.48
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $934.63 14 $13,084.75 $13,241.96 +$60.27
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET $910.50 14 $12,747.00
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $902.86 14 $12,640.04 $13,135.00 $-106.96
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:05am ET $923.97 14 $12,935.65
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $926.48 14 $12,970.72 $13,170.07 +$35.07
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $881.98 14 $12,347.72
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $881.26 14 $12,337.64 $13,159.99 $-10.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:10pm ET $854.53 15 $12,818.02
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $851.54 15 $12,773.10 $13,115.07 $-44.92
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
26 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $962.42 13 $12,511.46
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $985.39 13 $12,810.01 $13,413.62 +$298.55
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,413.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,413.62
Total Return: +34.14%
Back to Grace Crossover