Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:04:58

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 21.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 20.8

30-Day Momentum

23
+2.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.8 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,252.73
Current Value
$11,236.04
Period P&L
$983.22
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
11 / 18
Best Trade
+2.91%
Worst Trade
-1.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.33%
Avg Hold Time
16h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$608,250.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$983.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$983.22
Gross Return
+9.59%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.59%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,252.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $503.00 20 $10,060.00
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:30am ET $502.34 20 $10,046.80 $10,239.62 $-13.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $484.83 21 $10,181.43
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $482.78 21 $10,138.38 $10,196.57 $-43.05
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET $493.59 20 $9,871.80
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:30am ET $493.02 20 $9,860.40 $10,185.17 $-11.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $494.24 20 $9,884.90
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $499.97 20 $9,999.40 $10,299.67 +$114.50
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $497.86 20 $9,957.20
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $509.48 20 $10,189.60 $10,532.07 +$232.40
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $504.60 20 $10,092.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $503.01 20 $10,060.20 $10,500.27 $-31.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $512.07 20 $10,241.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $520.66 20 $10,413.10 $10,671.97 +$171.70
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:35am ET $521.66 20 $10,433.20
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:45am ET $519.35 20 $10,387.10 $10,625.87 $-46.10
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $517.36 20 $10,347.20
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $515.10 20 $10,302.00 $10,580.67 $-45.20
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:25am ET $501.82 21 $10,538.12
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET $501.55 21 $10,532.55 $10,575.10 $-5.57
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $506.47 20 $10,129.40
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $513.33 20 $10,266.50 $10,712.20 +$137.10
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $504.79 21 $10,600.59
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:10am ET $503.45 21 $10,572.40 $10,684.01 $-28.19
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $505.56 21 $10,616.76
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $500.37 21 $10,507.77 $10,575.02 $-108.99
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $492.36 21 $10,339.56
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $498.93 21 $10,477.53 $10,712.99 +$137.97
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $499.39 21 $10,487.19
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 1:25pm ET $503.76 21 $10,578.96 $10,804.76 +$91.77
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
16 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:45am ET $492.46 21 $10,341.66
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:35am ET $491.60 21 $10,323.60 $10,786.70 $-18.06
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $494.96 21 $10,394.16
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 11:20am ET $506.75 21 $10,641.70 $11,034.24 +$247.54
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $495.23 22 $10,894.95
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 12:35pm ET $493.17 22 $10,849.63 $10,988.92 $-45.32
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
19 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $501.75 21 $10,536.75
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:25am ET $499.46 21 $10,488.69 $10,940.86 $-48.06
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
20 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $494.17 22 $10,871.74
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $493.10 22 $10,848.20 $10,917.32 $-23.54
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
21 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $494.93 22 $10,888.46
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $494.49 22 $10,878.78 $10,907.64 $-9.68
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
22 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $498.36 21 $10,465.56
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $492.95 21 $10,351.85 $10,793.93 $-113.71
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $469.10 23 $10,789.30
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $482.76 23 $11,103.48 $11,108.11 +$314.18
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $485.78 22 $10,687.16
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $485.15 22 $10,673.30 $11,094.25 $-13.86
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $494.01 22 $10,868.22
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $488.99 22 $10,757.78 $10,983.81 $-110.44
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:50am ET $488.15 22 $10,739.30
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 1:10pm ET $490.10 22 $10,782.09 $11,026.60 +$42.79
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $490.11 22 $10,782.42
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $497.18 22 $10,937.96 $11,182.14 +$155.54
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:30pm ET $490.62 22 $10,793.64
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $490.10 22 $10,782.20 $11,170.70 $-11.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $490.88 22 $10,799.36
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $493.85 22 $10,864.70 $11,236.04 +$65.34
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,236.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,236.04
Total Return: +12.36%
Back to Grace Crossover