Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:07:01

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

4
-7.1%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,246.02
Current Value
$8,376.09
Period P&L
$-869.91
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
8 / 20
Best Trade
+1.02%
Worst Trade
-4.06%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
17.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$501,348.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-869.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-869.91
Gross Return
-9.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,246.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 10:55am ET $87.02 106 $9,224.12
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:15pm ET $87.59 106 $9,284.54 $9,306.42 +$60.42
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:10am ET $87.19 106 $9,242.14
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $86.86 106 $9,207.69 $9,271.97 $-34.45
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $86.64 107 $9,270.80
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:20am ET $85.95 107 $9,196.65 $9,197.82 $-74.15
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $86.25 106 $9,142.50
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $85.98 106 $9,113.88 $9,169.20 $-28.62
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $86.27 106 $9,144.62
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET $86.54 106 $9,173.24 $9,197.82 +$28.62
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $87.87 104 $9,138.48
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $87.90 104 $9,142.12 $9,201.46 +$3.64
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $87.25 105 $9,160.73
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.17 105 $9,152.85 $9,193.58 $-7.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $86.60 106 $9,179.07
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $86.43 106 $9,161.05 $9,175.56 $-18.02
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $83.73 109 $9,126.57
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $83.17 109 $9,065.53 $9,114.52 $-61.04
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:00pm ET $83.36 109 $9,086.78
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET $83.32 109 $9,081.88 $9,109.62 $-4.90
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $81.80 111 $9,079.80
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $81.19 111 $9,012.09 $9,041.91 $-67.71
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $79.61 113 $8,995.93
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:35pm ET $80.39 113 $9,083.51 $9,129.49 +$87.58
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 11:05am ET $78.27 116 $9,079.32
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:15am ET $78.08 116 $9,057.28 $9,107.45 $-22.04
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:25pm ET $77.58 117 $9,076.86
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:35am ET $77.88 117 $9,111.38 $9,141.96 +$34.51
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
15 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $75.02 121 $9,077.42
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $74.90 121 $9,063.50 $9,128.05 $-13.91
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
16 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $76.23 119 $9,071.37
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 2:10pm ET $76.10 119 $9,055.90 $9,112.58 $-15.47
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
17 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $76.88 118 $9,071.84
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:55am ET $76.84 118 $9,067.12 $9,107.86 $-4.72
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held
18 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $76.89 118 $9,073.03
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:05pm ET $76.86 118 $9,069.48 $9,104.31 $-3.55
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
19 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 2:35pm ET $78.43 116 $9,097.31
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $77.40 116 $8,978.41 $8,985.41 $-118.90
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
20 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:45am ET $78.49 114 $8,947.87
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $78.65 114 $8,966.10 $9,003.64 +$18.23
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
21 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $77.98 115 $8,967.70
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $75.29 115 $8,658.92 $8,694.86 $-308.78
(-3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $74.39 116 $8,629.82
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:25am ET $74.01 116 $8,585.74 $8,650.78 $-44.08
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:40am ET $74.12 116 $8,597.92
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:45am ET $74.07 116 $8,592.12 $8,644.98 $-5.80
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $81.27 106 $8,614.62
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:50am ET $82.10 106 $8,702.60 $8,732.96 +$87.98
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $80.32 108 $8,674.56
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.32 108 $8,674.02 $8,732.42 $-0.54
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $81.06 107 $8,673.42
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $77.77 107 $8,321.39 $8,380.39 $-352.03
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET $79.14 105 $8,309.18
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:05am ET $79.00 105 $8,295.00 $8,366.21 $-14.18
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $80.34 104 $8,355.36
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $80.43 104 $8,365.24 $8,376.09 +$9.88
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,376.09
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,623.91
Total Return: -16.24%
Back to Grace Crossover