Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:21:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.0/35
Total Return
9.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 18.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 18.4

30-Day Momentum

9
-2.2%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,780
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,862.78
Current Value
$11,214.21
Period P&L
$351.37
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
11 / 17
Best Trade
+2.76%
Worst Trade
-0.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
22.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$620,751.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$351.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$351.37
Gross Return
+3.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,862.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $117.51 92 $10,810.92
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $117.21 92 $10,783.32 $10,835.24 $-27.60
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
24m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $117.47 92 $10,807.24
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $117.32 92 $10,793.47 $10,821.47 $-13.77
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $121.79 88 $10,717.96
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:35am ET $121.46 88 $10,688.92 $10,792.43 $-29.04
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 1:50pm ET $120.70 89 $10,742.30
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $120.67 89 $10,739.19 $10,789.32 $-3.11
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $122.64 87 $10,669.68
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $122.91 87 $10,693.17 $10,812.81 +$23.49
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $122.90 87 $10,692.52
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $122.11 87 $10,623.14 $10,743.43 $-69.38
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $120.63 89 $10,735.63
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $123.14 89 $10,959.02 $10,966.82 +$223.39
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $120.04 91 $10,923.64
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $119.13 91 $10,840.83 $10,884.01 $-82.81
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $114.56 95 $10,883.20
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:40am ET $114.97 95 $10,922.15 $10,922.96 +$38.95
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET $116.70 93 $10,853.06
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:45am ET $116.46 93 $10,830.78 $10,900.68 $-22.28
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 12:45pm ET $115.22 94 $10,830.68
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $116.46 94 $10,947.02 $11,017.02 +$116.34
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $115.97 94 $10,901.65
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $116.01 94 $10,904.94 $11,020.31 +$3.29
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $114.48 96 $10,990.08
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $114.29 96 $10,971.36 $11,001.59 $-18.72
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 11:15am ET $114.43 96 $10,984.80
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $115.60 96 $11,097.60 $11,114.39 +$112.80
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $115.83 95 $11,003.84
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:05am ET $119.03 95 $11,307.85 $11,418.40 +$304.01
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $118.08 96 $11,335.68
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:20pm ET $120.05 96 $11,524.80 $11,607.52 +$189.12
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:45am ET $121.29 95 $11,522.08
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:10am ET $120.42 95 $11,439.90 $11,525.34 $-82.18
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 1:00pm ET $117.80 97 $11,426.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:10pm ET $117.80 97 $11,426.60 $11,525.34 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET $122.68 93 $11,409.24
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $122.74 93 $11,414.82 $11,530.92 +$5.58
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:10am ET $120.14 95 $11,413.77
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $119.51 95 $11,353.92 $11,471.07 $-59.85
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $117.88 97 $11,433.88
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $117.21 97 $11,369.37 $11,406.56 $-64.51
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:25am ET $118.39 96 $11,365.44
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $118.45 96 $11,371.20 $11,412.32 +$5.76
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $112.67 101 $11,379.37
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:50am ET $112.28 101 $11,340.28 $11,373.23 $-39.09
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $112.03 101 $11,314.53
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $111.85 101 $11,296.85 $11,355.55 $-17.68
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:35am ET $111.46 101 $11,257.46
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $111.38 101 $11,249.38 $11,347.47 $-8.08
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $111.14 102 $11,335.77
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:05am ET $110.61 102 $11,281.71 $11,293.41 $-54.06
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:55am ET $113.45 99 $11,231.55
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $113.17 99 $11,203.83 $11,265.69 $-27.72
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
28 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $113.41 99 $11,227.59
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:35am ET $112.89 99 $11,176.11 $11,214.21 $-51.48
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,214.21
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,214.21
Total Return: +12.14%
Back to Grace Crossover