Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:09:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

54
+14.6%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 64.0 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+50 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,591.48
Current Value
$6,372.65
Period P&L
$1,781.17
Max Drawdown
-67.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
15 / 15
Best Trade
+9.01%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+1.15%
Avg Hold Time
13.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$313,949.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,781.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,781.17
Gross Return
+38.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+38.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $4,591.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 3:05pm ET $51.83 88 $4,560.60
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $51.62 88 $4,542.12 $4,573.00 $-18.48
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $53.19 85 $4,521.15
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:35am ET $53.67 85 $4,561.53 $4,613.38 +$40.38
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $50.99 90 $4,588.65
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $50.66 90 $4,559.40 $4,584.13 $-29.25
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $49.25 93 $4,580.25
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 10:15am ET $50.09 93 $4,658.37 $4,662.25 +$78.12
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $50.24 92 $4,621.70
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 11:15am ET $49.53 92 $4,556.76 $4,597.31 $-64.94
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:45pm ET $48.83 94 $4,590.01
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $51.42 94 $4,833.48 $4,840.78 +$243.47
(+5.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:30am ET $51.51 93 $4,790.63
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $51.95 93 $4,831.35 $4,881.50 +$40.72
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $51.51 94 $4,842.41
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $51.33 94 $4,824.55 $4,863.64 $-17.86
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $52.75 92 $4,853.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:10am ET $53.40 92 $4,912.34 $4,922.98 +$59.34
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:10am ET $53.85 91 $4,900.35
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $53.60 91 $4,878.05 $4,900.69 $-22.29
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $54.67 89 $4,865.63
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $54.20 89 $4,823.80 $4,858.86 $-41.83
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:20am ET $54.67 88 $4,810.96
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $54.76 88 $4,818.88 $4,866.78 +$7.92
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $47.19 103 $4,860.06
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $47.09 103 $4,850.27 $4,856.99 $-9.79
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
14 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $45.18 107 $4,834.28
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:35pm ET $47.26 107 $5,057.13 $5,079.84 +$222.85
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $46.21 109 $5,036.35
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $46.02 109 $5,016.18 $5,059.67 $-20.17
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
16 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $50.08 101 $5,058.58
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:25am ET $54.60 101 $5,514.60 $5,515.68 +$456.01
(+9.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
17 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:35am ET $52.53 105 $5,515.13
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:40pm ET $53.32 105 $5,598.60 $5,599.15 +$83.47
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
18 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $50.64 110 $5,570.40
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 2:55pm ET $50.40 110 $5,544.00 $5,572.75 $-26.40
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
19 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $50.30 110 $5,533.00
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $50.00 110 $5,500.00 $5,539.75 $-33.00
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
20 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $48.46 114 $5,524.43
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 10:30am ET $47.44 114 $5,407.69 $5,423.01 $-116.74
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
21 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $47.67 113 $5,386.15
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:35am ET $48.17 113 $5,443.21 $5,480.07 +$57.06
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
22 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:10am ET $47.44 115 $5,455.03
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:35pm ET $48.39 115 $5,564.85 $5,589.89 +$109.82
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:50am ET $44.91 124 $5,568.84
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $48.76 124 $6,046.86 $6,067.91 +$478.02
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $51.22 118 $6,043.37
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:25am ET $49.09 118 $5,792.62 $5,817.16 $-250.75
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $47.39 122 $5,781.58
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:05am ET $46.97 122 $5,730.03 $5,765.61 $-51.55
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $46.63 123 $5,735.49
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:45pm ET $46.39 123 $5,705.97 $5,736.09 $-29.52
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:50pm ET $51.03 112 $5,715.36
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 1:30pm ET $50.60 112 $5,667.20 $5,687.93 $-48.16
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $51.45 110 $5,659.50
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $55.81 110 $6,139.10 $6,167.53 +$479.60
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.6h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:30am ET $61.76 99 $6,114.65
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $62.26 99 $6,164.23 $6,217.12 +$49.59
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $59.87 103 $6,166.61
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $61.38 103 $6,322.14 $6,372.65 +$155.53
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,372.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,627.35
Total Return: -36.27%
Back to Grace Crossover