Compendium › Grace Crossover › MS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MS
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 25 trades in period

+6.75%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,511.83
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$10,783.85
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:00:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 20.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 20.6

30-Day Momentum

19
+0.4%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.6 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,801
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,783.85
Current Value
$11,511.83
Period P&L
$728.06
Max Drawdown
-12.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
14 / 11
Best Trade
+4.51%
Worst Trade
-1.86%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
21.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$551,288.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$728.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$728.06
Gross Return
+6.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,783.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $184.15 58 $10,680.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:50am ET $182.47 58 $10,583.26 $10,686.33 $-97.44
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $176.22 60 $10,573.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $175.79 60 $10,547.70 $10,660.83 $-25.50
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET $171.76 62 $10,649.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:35pm ET $171.85 62 $10,655.01 $10,666.72 +$5.89
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 2:20pm ET $173.62 61 $10,590.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $172.68 61 $10,533.48 $10,609.38 $-57.34
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $170.53 62 $10,572.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $173.37 62 $10,748.94 $10,785.46 +$176.08
(+1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $166.42 64 $10,650.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $163.33 64 $10,453.12 $10,587.70 $-197.76
(-1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:35am ET $163.32 64 $10,452.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $165.98 64 $10,622.72 $10,757.94 +$170.24
(+1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $162.33 66 $10,713.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $159.51 66 $10,527.66 $10,571.82 $-186.12
(-1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $154.07 68 $10,476.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:25am ET $155.31 68 $10,561.08 $10,656.14 +$84.32
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $155.82 68 $10,596.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $158.51 68 $10,778.68 $10,838.77 +$182.63
(+1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:25am ET $158.48 68 $10,776.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $161.39 68 $10,974.52 $11,036.99 +$198.22
(+1.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $167.26 65 $10,871.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $165.72 65 $10,771.80 $10,936.89 $-100.10
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $163.82 66 $10,812.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $163.61 66 $10,798.26 $10,923.03 $-13.86
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $159.76 68 $10,863.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $166.96 68 $11,353.28 $11,412.63 +$489.60
(+4.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 2:45pm ET $165.62 68 $11,261.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:20am ET $166.33 68 $11,310.44 $11,461.25 +$48.62
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET $167.25 68 $11,373.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $167.86 68 $11,414.47 $11,502.72 +$41.47
(+0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $176.09 65 $11,445.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $175.31 65 $11,395.15 $11,452.02 $-50.70
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $176.60 64 $11,302.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $177.66 64 $11,370.24 $11,519.86 +$67.84
(+0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $188.49 61 $11,497.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:15pm ET $190.95 61 $11,647.95 $11,669.92 +$150.06
(+1.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $190.17 61 $11,600.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $190.21 61 $11,602.93 $11,672.48 +$2.56
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $189.73 61 $11,573.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $191.49 61 $11,680.89 $11,779.84 +$107.36
(+0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $188.54 62 $11,689.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:40pm ET $187.98 62 $11,654.76 $11,745.12 $-34.72
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
55m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $189.69 61 $11,571.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $186.24 61 $11,360.64 $11,534.67 $-210.45
(-1.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
24 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:55pm ET $191.37 60 $11,482.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 2:35pm ET $188.00 60 $11,280.00 $11,332.47 $-202.20
(-1.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
25 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $189.86 59 $11,201.74 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $192.90 59 $11,381.10 $11,511.83 +$179.36
(+1.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,511.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,511.83
Total Return: +15.12%
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