Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:59:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.5/35
Total Return
4.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 10.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.1

30-Day Momentum

63
+8.8%
30d Return
78%
Win Rate
9
Trades
5.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 74.8 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+53 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,800
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,930.90
Current Value
$10,248.52
Period P&L
$317.63
Max Drawdown
-19.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
13 / 14
Best Trade
+4.72%
Worst Trade
-2.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
19.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$513,954.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$317.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$317.63
Gross Return
+3.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,930.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $414.33 23 $9,529.56
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.25 23 $9,527.75 $9,929.08 $-1.81
(-0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $404.13 24 $9,699.12
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:20pm ET $404.14 24 $9,699.36 $9,929.32 +$0.24
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:15am ET $399.86 24 $9,596.64
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $401.02 24 $9,624.48 $9,957.16 +$27.84
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $398.08 25 $9,952.00
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $396.60 25 $9,915.00 $9,920.16 $-37.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $387.63 25 $9,690.75
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $386.73 25 $9,668.37 $9,897.78 $-22.38
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $401.43 24 $9,634.32
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $390.58 24 $9,373.92 $9,637.38 $-260.40
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $400.45 24 $9,610.80
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:25pm ET $403.40 24 $9,681.60 $9,708.18 +$70.80
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:55am ET $408.46 23 $9,394.58
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:35pm ET $408.52 23 $9,396.02 $9,709.62 +$1.44
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:55am ET $408.62 23 $9,398.26
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:10am ET $406.86 23 $9,357.78 $9,669.14 $-40.48
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $403.88 23 $9,289.24
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $402.95 23 $9,267.96 $9,647.86 $-21.28
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 3:30pm ET $403.89 23 $9,289.47
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:55am ET $395.20 23 $9,089.60 $9,447.99 $-199.87
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $399.90 23 $9,197.70
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 1:50pm ET $399.14 23 $9,180.22 $9,430.51 $-17.48
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $394.77 23 $9,079.65
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:15pm ET $393.61 23 $9,053.03 $9,403.89 $-26.62
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $385.15 24 $9,243.48
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET $384.48 24 $9,227.52 $9,387.93 $-15.96
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $373.45 25 $9,336.25
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $373.41 25 $9,335.25 $9,386.93 $-1.00
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $371.15 25 $9,278.75
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $369.77 25 $9,244.25 $9,352.43 $-34.50
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $359.95 25 $8,998.75
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $361.95 25 $9,048.63 $9,402.30 +$49.87
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:05am ET $370.99 25 $9,274.75
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:45am ET $371.60 25 $9,289.88 $9,417.43 +$15.13
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $369.82 25 $9,245.50
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $370.25 25 $9,256.25 $9,428.18 +$10.75
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:15pm ET $371.60 25 $9,290.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET $371.88 25 $9,297.07 $9,435.25 +$7.07
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $392.63 24 $9,423.12
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $411.14 24 $9,867.48 $9,879.61 +$444.36
(+4.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:30pm ET $419.00 23 $9,637.00
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET $424.44 23 $9,762.12 $10,004.73 +$125.12
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $431.80 23 $9,931.29
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $431.33 23 $9,920.70 $9,994.15 $-10.58
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $416.06 24 $9,985.44
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $418.70 24 $10,048.68 $10,057.39 +$63.24
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:55am ET $426.01 23 $9,798.23
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $427.08 23 $9,822.95 $10,082.11 +$24.72
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:55pm ET $402.42 25 $10,060.50
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:45pm ET $413.61 25 $10,340.13 $10,361.73 +$279.62
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $414.73 24 $9,953.45
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $410.01 24 $9,840.24 $10,248.52 $-113.21
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,248.52
Net Profit/Loss: +$248.52
Total Return: +2.49%
Back to Grace Crossover