Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:16:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

11
+0.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.1 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,762
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,764.78
Current Value
$8,965.95
Period P&L
$-798.84
Max Drawdown
-27.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
8 / 19
Best Trade
+2.55%
Worst Trade
-4.13%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
13.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$485,651.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-798.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$-798.84
Gross Return
-8.18%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,764.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $173.35 56 $9,707.60
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $174.16 56 $9,753.24 $9,810.43 +$45.64
(+0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $196.97 49 $9,651.53
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:30am ET $189.89 49 $9,304.60 $9,463.50 $-346.93
(-3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $196.97 48 $9,454.56
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:05am ET $195.54 48 $9,385.92 $9,394.86 $-68.64
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 10:45am ET $191.72 49 $9,394.28
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:55am ET $190.70 49 $9,344.30 $9,344.88 $-49.98
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 11:05am ET $192.96 48 $9,262.08
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $185.00 48 $8,880.00 $8,962.80 $-382.08
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $161.21 55 $8,866.55
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:10pm ET $164.35 55 $9,039.25 $9,135.50 +$172.70
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $172.95 52 $8,993.40
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $169.53 52 $8,815.69 $8,957.79 $-177.71
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:35am ET $190.49 47 $8,952.80
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $189.04 47 $8,884.65 $8,889.64 $-68.15
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:40pm ET $193.96 45 $8,728.42
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 1:55pm ET $193.42 45 $8,703.90 $8,865.12 $-24.52
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:40am ET $202.55 43 $8,709.65
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $207.53 43 $8,923.79 $9,079.26 +$214.14
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:55am ET $212.80 42 $8,937.60
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 2:00pm ET $212.72 42 $8,934.24 $9,075.90 $-3.36
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 11:25am ET $210.10 43 $9,034.51
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $212.25 43 $9,126.75 $9,168.14 +$92.24
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 11:00am ET $226.57 40 $9,062.80
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET $224.60 40 $8,984.00 $9,089.34 $-78.80
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:40am ET $221.30 41 $9,073.30
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $221.17 41 $9,067.97 $9,084.01 $-5.33
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $221.42 41 $9,078.22
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $218.70 41 $8,966.70 $8,972.49 $-111.52
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $201.88 44 $8,882.50
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $201.75 44 $8,877.00 $8,966.99 $-5.50
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:15am ET $206.92 43 $8,897.56
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $208.87 43 $8,981.41 $9,050.84 +$83.85
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $212.37 42 $8,919.54
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $211.26 42 $8,872.71 $9,004.01 $-46.83
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $172.80 52 $8,985.86
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $169.29 52 $8,802.82 $8,820.97 $-183.04
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 10:15am ET $183.09 48 $8,788.32
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $187.54 48 $9,001.92 $9,034.57 +$213.60
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:35am ET $197.22 45 $8,874.90
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:55am ET $195.88 45 $8,814.60 $8,974.27 $-60.30
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $208.81 42 $8,769.94
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:45am ET $207.80 42 $8,727.60 $8,931.93 $-42.34
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET $206.12 43 $8,863.16
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:05am ET $203.81 43 $8,763.83 $8,832.60 $-99.33
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 10:15am ET $207.50 42 $8,715.00
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $212.79 42 $8,937.18 $9,054.78 +$222.18
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.2h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:45am ET $209.38 43 $9,003.34
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $207.37 43 $8,916.91 $8,968.35 $-86.43
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
26 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $219.67 40 $8,786.80
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $220.33 40 $8,813.20 $8,994.75 +$26.40
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
27 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $245.30 36 $8,830.80
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $244.50 36 $8,802.00 $8,965.95 $-28.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,965.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,034.05
Total Return: -10.34%
Back to Grace Crossover