Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:30:58

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.1/10
Raw Quality 2.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 2.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-5.3%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,782
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,867.25
Current Value
$5,492.94
Period P&L
$-374.23
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
8 / 20
Best Trade
+8.21%
Worst Trade
-4.64%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
14.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$316,910.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-374.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-374.23
Gross Return
-6.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $5,867.25 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET $5.00 1,173 $5,865.12
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:55am ET $4.95 1,173 $5,800.49 $5,802.54 $-64.63
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 11:15am ET $4.99 1,162 $5,798.38
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $5.02 1,162 $5,833.24 $5,837.40 +$34.86
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $4.95 1,179 $5,835.93
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $4.97 1,179 $5,861.28 $5,862.75 +$25.35
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 3:10pm ET $4.86 1,206 $5,861.16
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $4.93 1,206 $5,945.58 $5,947.17 +$84.42
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $5.32 1,118 $5,942.17
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $5.30 1,118 $5,930.99 $5,935.99 $-11.18
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 11:30am ET $5.22 1,137 $5,932.75
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $5.01 1,137 $5,690.69 $5,693.92 $-242.07
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $4.71 1,208 $5,689.68
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $4.69 1,208 $5,665.52 $5,669.76 $-24.16
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $4.89 1,158 $5,668.41
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET $4.67 1,158 $5,405.31 $5,406.66 $-263.10
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $4.78 1,129 $5,402.26
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $4.78 1,129 $5,396.62 $5,401.02 $-5.64
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:30pm ET $5.52 978 $5,398.27
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $5.47 978 $5,354.55 $5,357.30 $-43.72
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $5.74 934 $5,356.49
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:25pm ET $5.84 934 $5,459.23 $5,460.04 +$102.74
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $6.09 896 $5,454.85
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $6.07 896 $5,434.24 $5,439.43 $-20.61
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 11:00am ET $5.96 912 $5,433.97
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:10am ET $5.91 912 $5,392.56 $5,398.03 $-41.40
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 1:30pm ET $5.85 922 $5,394.90
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:45pm ET $5.84 922 $5,388.17 $5,391.30 $-6.73
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $5.63 958 $5,388.75
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $5.83 958 $5,583.61 $5,586.16 +$194.86
(+3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $5.84 957 $5,584.10
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $5.64 957 $5,402.26 $5,404.33 $-181.83
(-3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $5.54 975 $5,401.50
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 11:15am ET $5.99 975 $5,845.12 $5,847.95 +$443.62
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $6.19 945 $5,847.66
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:20pm ET $6.14 945 $5,802.30 $5,802.59 $-45.36
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:35pm ET $6.26 926 $5,801.39
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $6.47 926 $5,986.59 $5,987.79 +$185.20
(+3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $6.45 928 $5,987.36
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $6.47 928 $6,008.80 $6,009.23 +$21.44
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:30am ET $6.51 923 $6,004.12
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $6.45 923 $5,948.74 $5,953.85 $-55.38
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $6.87 866 $5,949.42
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET $6.59 866 $5,702.61 $5,707.04 $-246.81
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $6.28 909 $5,703.98
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $6.25 909 $5,681.25 $5,684.31 $-22.73
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $6.34 897 $5,683.12
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $6.24 897 $5,597.55 $5,598.74 $-85.57
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $6.45 868 $5,598.60
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $6.43 868 $5,585.58 $5,585.72 $-13.02
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $5.95 939 $5,582.36
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $5.91 939 $5,544.80 $5,548.16 $-37.56
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
27 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 3:30pm ET $6.11 907 $5,546.30
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $6.09 907 $5,528.16 $5,530.02 $-18.14
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
28 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:35am ET $5.92 934 $5,529.56
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:00am ET $5.88 934 $5,492.48 $5,492.94 $-37.08
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,492.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,507.06
Total Return: -45.07%
Back to Grace Crossover