Compendium › Grace Crossover › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 24 trades in period

+4.36%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,694.55
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$10,247.66
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
7.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 13.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 13.8

30-Day Momentum

23
+2.7%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.3 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,247.66
Current Value
$10,694.55
Period P&L
$446.89
Max Drawdown
-30.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
9 / 15
Best Trade
+4.80%
Worst Trade
-1.48%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
16.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$499,926.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$446.89
Net P&L (after fees)
$446.89
Gross Return
+4.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,247.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $190.13 53 $10,076.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET $189.12 53 $10,023.37 $10,194.15 $-53.52
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $191.74 53 $10,162.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $191.47 53 $10,147.91 $10,179.57 $-14.57
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:05am ET $182.78 55 $10,053.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $185.39 55 $10,196.45 $10,322.99 +$143.42
(+1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:25am ET $187.83 54 $10,142.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 2:45pm ET $189.04 54 $10,207.90 $10,388.07 +$65.08
(+0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:35pm ET $191.25 54 $10,327.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $192.72 54 $10,406.88 $10,467.45 +$79.38
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $179.35 58 $10,402.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $181.91 58 $10,550.78 $10,615.64 +$148.19
(+1.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $180.22 58 $10,452.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $180.10 58 $10,445.80 $10,608.68 $-6.96
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET $178.82 59 $10,550.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $179.41 59 $10,585.48 $10,643.49 +$34.81
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:55pm ET $185.62 57 $10,580.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $184.01 57 $10,488.29 $10,551.58 $-91.91
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $184.96 57 $10,542.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:35am ET $183.64 57 $10,467.48 $10,476.27 $-75.31
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $182.68 57 $10,412.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $182.56 57 $10,405.92 $10,469.71 $-6.56
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 12:15pm ET $178.71 58 $10,365.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 12:50pm ET $178.14 58 $10,332.35 $10,436.59 $-33.12
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $177.38 58 $10,288.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET $176.34 58 $10,227.73 $10,376.28 $-60.31
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $175.32 59 $10,343.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $178.82 59 $10,550.67 $10,583.37 +$207.09
(+2.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:45am ET $169.44 62 $10,505.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 11:15am ET $166.93 62 $10,349.35 $10,427.44 $-155.93
(-1.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 11:40am ET $176.98 58 $10,264.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $176.70 58 $10,248.60 $10,411.20 $-16.24
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $181.68 57 $10,356.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $183.34 57 $10,450.10 $10,505.25 +$94.05
(+0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:35am ET $188.54 55 $10,369.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:50am ET $188.45 55 $10,364.48 $10,500.30 $-4.95
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $198.65 52 $10,330.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:55pm ET $198.33 52 $10,313.16 $10,483.40 $-16.90
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
10m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $201.05 52 $10,454.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $201.45 52 $10,475.40 $10,504.20 +$20.80
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $199.42 52 $10,369.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $209.00 52 $10,868.02 $11,002.38 +$498.18
(+4.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $210.88 52 $10,965.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $208.24 52 $10,828.64 $10,865.31 $-137.07
(-1.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
23 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $201.55 53 $10,682.15 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $199.76 53 $10,587.53 $10,770.69 $-94.62
(-0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
24 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:25am ET $198.90 54 $10,740.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $197.49 54 $10,664.46 $10,694.55 $-76.14
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,694.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$694.55
Total Return: +6.95%
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