Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:17:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.6/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 37.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 37.7

30-Day Momentum

34
+2.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.1 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,804
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,026.49
Current Value
$15,443.46
Period P&L
$2,416.95
Max Drawdown
-10.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
12 / 16
Best Trade
+8.55%
Worst Trade
-2.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.64%
Avg Hold Time
14.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$746,121.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,416.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,416.95
Gross Return
+18.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+18.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,026.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $167.00 78 $13,026.09
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $166.25 78 $12,967.50 $12,967.92 $-58.59
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET $163.33 79 $12,903.07
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $162.50 79 $12,837.50 $12,902.35 $-65.57
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET $152.55 84 $12,814.20
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:30pm ET $151.21 84 $12,701.64 $12,789.79 $-112.56
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
6h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $145.01 88 $12,760.88
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $141.59 88 $12,459.92 $12,488.83 $-300.96
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:45am ET $147.07 84 $12,353.88
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $146.88 84 $12,338.21 $12,473.16 $-15.67
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $151.44 82 $12,418.08
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $155.69 82 $12,766.58 $12,821.66 +$348.50
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $162.68 78 $12,689.43
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET $162.73 78 $12,692.94 $12,825.17 +$3.51
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $165.26 77 $12,725.02
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $164.47 77 $12,664.19 $12,764.34 $-60.83
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $164.42 77 $12,660.34
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:55pm ET $167.24 77 $12,877.48 $12,981.48 +$217.14
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 1:30pm ET $167.35 77 $12,885.94
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $166.36 77 $12,809.39 $12,904.93 $-76.55
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 2:45pm ET $167.68 76 $12,743.68
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET $169.28 76 $12,865.28 $13,026.53 +$121.60
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:55am ET $170.42 76 $12,951.92
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET $169.51 76 $12,882.76 $12,957.37 $-69.16
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $163.98 79 $12,954.42
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $164.60 79 $13,003.40 $13,006.35 +$48.98
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $158.10 82 $12,964.61
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $156.70 82 $12,849.40 $12,891.14 $-115.21
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $157.50 81 $12,757.50
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $156.82 81 $12,702.42 $12,836.06 $-55.08
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $146.84 87 $12,774.65
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET $159.00 87 $13,833.14 $13,894.55 +$1,058.49
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:15pm ET $160.21 86 $13,778.06
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $159.65 86 $13,729.91 $13,846.40 $-48.15
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET $161.93 85 $13,763.63
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $161.96 85 $13,766.60 $13,849.38 +$2.98
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $155.59 89 $13,847.51
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $154.76 89 $13,773.64 $13,775.51 $-73.87
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $161.33 85 $13,713.05
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $161.17 85 $13,699.45 $13,761.91 $-13.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $167.10 82 $13,702.20
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET $167.56 82 $13,739.92 $13,799.63 +$37.72
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $170.40 80 $13,632.00
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $174.87 80 $13,989.60 $14,157.23 +$357.60
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $172.34 82 $14,131.47
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET $174.46 82 $14,305.72 $14,331.48 +$174.25
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $183.38 78 $14,303.25
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $182.92 78 $14,267.76 $14,295.99 $-35.49
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $180.30 79 $14,243.70
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $179.08 79 $14,147.32 $14,199.61 $-96.38
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 10:35am ET $180.57 78 $14,084.85
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $182.03 78 $14,198.34 $14,313.10 +$113.49
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 10:50am ET $184.28 77 $14,189.56
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:50am ET $183.33 77 $14,116.41 $14,239.95 $-73.15
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
28 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $182.85 77 $14,079.07
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:45am ET $198.48 77 $15,282.58 $15,443.46 +$1,203.51
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,443.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,443.46
Total Return: +54.43%
Back to Grace Crossover