Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:00:30

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.0/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 34.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 34.5

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.3%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,801
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,853.21
Current Value
$12,389.32
Period P&L
$536.13
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
12 / 16
Best Trade
+2.53%
Worst Trade
-1.19%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
17.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$687,501.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$536.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$536.13
Gross Return
+4.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,853.21 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $166.66 71 $11,832.86
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $166.14 71 $11,795.94 $11,816.27 $-36.92
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET $167.52 70 $11,726.75
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 12:50pm ET $168.93 70 $11,825.06 $11,914.58 +$98.31
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $161.23 73 $11,769.79
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $163.78 73 $11,955.94 $12,100.73 +$186.15
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $164.14 73 $11,982.22
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:40am ET $168.30 73 $12,285.90 $12,404.41 +$303.68
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 11:00am ET $168.26 73 $12,282.62
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 1:40pm ET $168.31 73 $12,286.63 $12,408.42 +$4.01
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $168.45 73 $12,296.85
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $169.30 73 $12,358.90 $12,470.47 +$62.05
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 3:40pm ET $167.98 74 $12,430.15
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $167.61 74 $12,403.14 $12,443.46 $-27.01
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $157.68 78 $12,299.43
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $160.37 78 $12,508.86 $12,652.89 +$209.43
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.37 78 $12,508.86
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $158.87 78 $12,391.86 $12,535.89 $-117.00
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:10pm ET $160.23 78 $12,497.94
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:35pm ET $159.96 78 $12,476.88 $12,514.83 $-21.06
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $157.23 79 $12,421.17
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $157.10 79 $12,410.90 $12,504.56 $-10.27
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET $154.13 81 $12,484.53
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $153.71 81 $12,450.51 $12,470.54 $-34.02
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $150.70 82 $12,357.40
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:50pm ET $151.29 82 $12,405.78 $12,518.92 +$48.38
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $151.40 82 $12,414.80
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:35am ET $152.04 82 $12,467.28 $12,571.40 +$52.48
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $158.04 79 $12,485.16
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 2:35pm ET $157.86 79 $12,470.94 $12,557.18 $-14.22
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 3:10pm ET $155.24 80 $12,419.20
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $153.75 80 $12,300.00 $12,437.98 $-119.20
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:45pm ET $156.13 79 $12,334.27
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:55pm ET $156.03 79 $12,326.37 $12,430.08 $-7.90
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:15am ET $153.63 80 $12,290.40
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $153.54 80 $12,283.20 $12,422.88 $-7.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:15am ET $157.65 78 $12,296.31
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET $157.32 78 $12,270.96 $12,397.53 $-25.35
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $155.76 79 $12,305.04
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $155.80 79 $12,308.20 $12,400.69 +$3.16
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:50am ET $154.42 80 $12,353.21
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $153.93 80 $12,314.00 $12,361.48 $-39.21
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $158.03 78 $12,326.35
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $157.65 78 $12,296.70 $12,331.83 $-29.65
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $156.66 78 $12,219.48
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $156.41 78 $12,200.37 $12,312.72 $-19.11
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $155.32 79 $12,270.67
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:05am ET $154.76 79 $12,225.84 $12,267.89 $-44.83
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $155.38 78 $12,120.03
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:15am ET $155.49 78 $12,128.22 $12,276.08 +$8.19
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $155.41 78 $12,121.98
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $157.78 78 $12,306.84 $12,460.94 +$184.86
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
27 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $157.57 79 $12,448.03
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $155.70 79 $12,300.30 $12,313.21 $-147.73
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
28 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $154.27 79 $12,187.06
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $155.23 79 $12,263.17 $12,389.32 +$76.11
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,389.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,389.32
Total Return: +23.89%
Back to Grace Crossover