PFE Grace Crossover's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 31 trades in period
-2.85%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,249.54
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$8,491.76
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality
3.8/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 3.8
30-Day Momentum
12
-0.9%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,793
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,491.76
Current Value
$8,249.54
Period P&L
$-242.21
Max Drawdown
-20.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
12 /
19
Best Trade
+1.97%
Worst Trade
-4.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
12.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$516,062.26
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-242.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$-242.21
Gross Return
-2.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.85%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,491.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:50pm ET | $27.01 | 314 | $8,481.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $27.07 | 314 | $8,499.98 | $8,510.57 |
+$18.81 (+0.2%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $27.69 | 307 | $8,502.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:20pm ET | $27.76 | 307 | $8,522.32 | $8,530.53 |
+$19.96 (+0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $27.84 | 306 | $8,519.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.33 | 306 | $8,361.45 | $8,372.18 |
$-158.35 (-1.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 1:00pm ET | $26.78 | 312 | $8,356.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 1:30pm ET | $26.69 | 312 | $8,328.84 | $8,344.10 |
$-28.08 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
30m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 3:40pm ET | $26.61 | 313 | $8,328.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 2:30pm ET | $27.00 | 313 | $8,451.00 | $8,466.17 |
+$122.07 (+1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:50am ET | $27.01 | 313 | $8,455.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 2:00pm ET | $27.00 | 313 | $8,452.50 | $8,462.98 |
$-3.19 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $27.45 | 308 | $8,454.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 2:35pm ET | $27.43 | 308 | $8,449.98 | $8,458.36 |
$-4.62 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $27.31 | 309 | $8,437.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:15pm ET | $27.21 | 309 | $8,407.89 | $8,429.00 |
$-29.36 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:15pm ET | $26.58 | 317 | $8,425.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.39 | 317 | $8,364.05 | $8,367.57 |
$-61.43 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $26.66 | 313 | $8,343.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 1:00pm ET | $26.60 | 313 | $8,327.36 | $8,351.92 |
$-15.65 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 2:55pm ET | $27.23 | 306 | $8,330.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET | $27.09 | 306 | $8,289.33 | $8,310.39 |
$-41.52 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $27.24 | 305 | $8,306.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.83 | 305 | $8,184.67 | $8,188.39 |
$-122.00 (-1.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.13 | 301 | $8,166.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $26.90 | 301 | $8,098.07 | $8,120.33 |
$-68.06 (-0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $26.66 | 304 | $8,103.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $26.60 | 304 | $8,087.92 | $8,105.13 |
$-15.20 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 11:15am ET | $27.19 | 298 | $8,104.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $27.23 | 298 | $8,114.54 | $8,115.56 |
+$10.43 (+0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $26.94 | 301 | $8,108.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:25pm ET | $26.88 | 301 | $8,090.88 | $8,097.50 |
$-18.06 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
10m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.91 | 300 | $8,072.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $27.00 | 300 | $8,098.50 | $8,123.75 |
+$26.25 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $27.44 | 296 | $8,122.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $27.64 | 296 | $8,179.96 | $8,181.47 |
+$57.72 (+0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $27.35 | 299 | $8,179.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 11:05am ET | $27.90 | 299 | $8,340.61 | $8,342.93 |
+$161.46 (+2.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 2:25pm ET | $28.39 | 293 | $8,318.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 3:20pm ET | $28.34 | 293 | $8,305.08 | $8,329.66 |
$-13.27 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
55m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $27.00 | 308 | $8,317.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $27.11 | 308 | $8,349.94 | $8,362.06 |
+$32.40 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:45am ET | $27.36 | 305 | $8,344.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 2:05pm ET | $27.35 | 305 | $8,343.27 | $8,360.57 |
$-1.49 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $26.92 | 310 | $8,346.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 10:40am ET | $27.17 | 310 | $8,421.15 | $8,434.97 |
+$74.40 (+0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1d held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET | $27.13 | 310 | $8,408.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET | $27.26 | 310 | $8,450.60 | $8,476.82 |
+$41.85 (+0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 2:25pm ET | $27.53 | 307 | $8,453.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $27.75 | 307 | $8,517.72 | $8,541.29 |
+$64.47 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET | $26.87 | 317 | $8,518.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:15pm ET | $26.82 | 317 | $8,500.36 | $8,523.00 |
$-18.29 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
45m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 11:55am ET | $26.84 | 317 | $8,509.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 12:45pm ET | $26.77 | 317 | $8,487.67 | $8,500.81 |
$-22.19 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $27.32 | 311 | $8,496.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.22 | 311 | $8,155.35 | $8,159.64 |
$-341.17 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $26.33 | 309 | $8,135.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 1:20pm ET | $26.71 | 309 | $8,252.46 | $8,276.13 |
+$116.49 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 10:40am ET | $26.42 | 313 | $8,271.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 1:55pm ET | $26.35 | 313 | $8,247.55 | $8,252.66 |
$-23.47 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 1:50pm ET | $26.39 | 312 | $8,232.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.38 | 312 | $8,229.00 | $8,249.54 |
$-3.12 (-0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,249.54
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,750.46
Total Return:
-17.50%