Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:22:55

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
7.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 18.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 17.8

30-Day Momentum

7
-7.7%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,269.16
Current Value
$10,672.05
Period P&L
$-1,597.12
Max Drawdown
-4.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.66

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
3 / 21
Best Trade
+0.94%
Worst Trade
-3.14%
Avg Trade Return
-0.58%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$552,744.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,597.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,597.12
Gross Return
-13.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,269.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET $159.38 76 $12,112.88
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $158.93 76 $12,078.64 $12,234.93 $-34.24
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
36m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:20pm ET $157.11 77 $12,097.47
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $157.09 77 $12,095.55 $12,233.01 $-1.92
(-0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
2.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $161.69 75 $12,126.75
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 11:30am ET $158.07 75 $11,855.62 $11,961.88 $-271.13
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $165.53 72 $11,918.16
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $165.50 72 $11,916.00 $11,959.72 $-2.16
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:45am ET $163.79 73 $11,957.03
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:40am ET $163.14 73 $11,909.22 $11,911.91 $-47.81
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $155.45 76 $11,814.20
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $154.90 76 $11,772.40 $11,870.11 $-41.80
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $154.95 76 $11,776.20
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $153.67 76 $11,678.92 $11,772.83 $-97.28
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $153.01 76 $11,628.76
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $153.15 76 $11,639.02 $11,783.09 +$10.26
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET $152.23 77 $11,721.33
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET $151.41 77 $11,658.57 $11,720.33 $-62.76
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $151.43 77 $11,660.11
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $152.85 77 $11,769.45 $11,829.67 +$109.34
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:05pm ET $148.15 79 $11,703.85
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $145.34 79 $11,482.02 $11,607.84 $-221.83
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 3:20pm ET $145.15 79 $11,466.46
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET $144.32 79 $11,400.89 $11,542.27 $-65.57
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:50am ET $144.17 80 $11,533.60
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET $143.76 80 $11,500.80 $11,509.47 $-32.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $143.44 80 $11,475.20
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:20pm ET $144.30 80 $11,544.10 $11,578.37 +$68.90
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $143.95 80 $11,516.00
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $143.70 80 $11,495.60 $11,557.97 $-20.40
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:10am ET $143.37 80 $11,469.60
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:15am ET $142.99 80 $11,439.60 $11,527.97 $-30.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:20pm ET $141.76 81 $11,482.56
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $141.49 81 $11,460.69 $11,506.10 $-21.87
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $144.65 79 $11,427.35
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $143.98 79 $11,374.42 $11,453.17 $-52.93
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $145.64 78 $11,359.92
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $143.62 78 $11,202.36 $11,295.61 $-157.56
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:50am ET $143.49 78 $11,191.83
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $143.46 78 $11,189.88 $11,293.66 $-1.95
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $147.32 76 $11,195.94
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:35am ET $142.68 76 $10,844.06 $10,941.78 $-351.88
(-3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $149.67 73 $10,925.91
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $148.53 73 $10,842.69 $10,858.56 $-83.22
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $146.64 74 $10,851.36
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 11:10am ET $146.28 74 $10,824.72 $10,831.92 $-26.64
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
24 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $147.38 73 $10,758.38
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $145.18 73 $10,598.50 $10,672.05 $-159.87
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,672.05
Net Profit/Loss: +$672.05
Total Return: +6.72%
Back to Grace Crossover