Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:03:05

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.3/35
Total Return
17.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 42.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 42.0

30-Day Momentum

13
+1.0%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.0 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,351.39
Current Value
$20,989.79
Period P&L
$638.44
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
6 / 21
Best Trade
+9.44%
Worst Trade
-4.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.15%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,127,622.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$638.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$638.44
Gross Return
+3.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $20,351.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $153.88 132 $20,312.16
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $154.77 132 $20,429.81 $20,469.00 +$117.65
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:00pm ET $151.25 135 $20,418.75
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $144.28 135 $19,477.80 $19,528.05 $-940.95
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:35am ET $142.21 137 $19,482.78
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:05pm ET $141.43 137 $19,375.92 $19,421.19 $-106.86
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $146.52 132 $19,341.30
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $146.37 132 $19,320.84 $19,400.73 $-20.46
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $148.66 130 $19,325.79
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $147.77 130 $19,210.10 $19,285.04 $-115.69
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $127.71 151 $19,283.46
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:15pm ET $133.34 151 $20,133.59 $20,135.17 +$850.13
(+4.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $135.96 148 $20,122.08
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $142.96 148 $21,158.57 $21,171.66 +$1,036.49
(+5.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $147.19 143 $21,048.17
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $146.35 143 $20,928.05 $21,051.54 $-120.12
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $141.52 148 $20,944.94
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $141.47 148 $20,937.56 $21,044.16 $-7.38
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:50pm ET $136.99 153 $20,959.47
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:00pm ET $136.84 153 $20,936.52 $21,021.21 $-22.95
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:30pm ET $138.90 151 $20,973.61
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $146.10 151 $22,061.85 $22,109.45 +$1,088.24
(+5.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $136.52 161 $21,979.72
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:25pm ET $135.68 161 $21,844.50 $21,974.23 $-135.22
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
13 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:55am ET $135.98 161 $21,891.98
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:55am ET $135.05 161 $21,742.86 $21,825.11 $-149.12
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
14 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:05pm ET $135.52 161 $21,819.52
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $134.79 161 $21,701.19 $21,706.77 $-118.34
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
15 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 3:05pm ET $134.15 161 $21,598.15
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:30am ET $129.51 161 $20,851.11 $20,959.73 $-747.04
(-3.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
16 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 11:40am ET $133.90 156 $20,888.40
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $133.38 156 $20,807.28 $20,878.61 $-81.12
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
17 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $134.68 155 $20,875.35
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $134.13 155 $20,790.15 $20,793.41 $-85.20
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
18 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $137.57 151 $20,773.07
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $137.52 151 $20,765.52 $20,785.86 $-7.55
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
19 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:40am ET $135.51 153 $20,732.57
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $148.30 153 $22,689.90 $22,743.19 +$1,957.33
(+9.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:50am ET $158.40 143 $22,651.48
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET $151.87 143 $21,716.70 $21,808.40 $-934.79
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $145.71 149 $21,710.79
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:25am ET $142.22 149 $21,190.78 $21,288.39 $-520.01
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $136.23 156 $21,251.88
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $135.15 156 $21,083.40 $21,119.91 $-168.48
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:40am ET $130.12 162 $21,079.44
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $129.18 162 $20,927.97 $20,968.44 $-151.47
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $128.13 163 $20,885.19
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $127.94 163 $20,855.03 $20,938.28 $-30.16
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $131.32 159 $20,879.09
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $134.04 159 $21,312.36 $21,371.55 +$433.27
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $128.29 166 $21,296.14
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $126.25 166 $20,957.50 $21,032.91 $-338.64
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $119.13 176 $20,966.88
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $118.89 176 $20,923.76 $20,989.79 $-43.12
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,989.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,989.79
Total Return: +109.90%
Back to Grace Crossover