Compendium › Grace Crossover › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 25 trades in period

+0.40%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,392.94
Current Value
36%
Win Rate
$11,347.53
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:16:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 22.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 22.2

30-Day Momentum

40
+4.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
5.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 49.1 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,347.53
Current Value
$11,392.94
Period P&L
$45.42
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
9 / 16
Best Trade
+3.12%
Worst Trade
-1.67%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
18.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$543,336.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$45.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$45.42
Gross Return
+0.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,347.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:40am ET $609.75 18 $10,975.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $614.93 18 $11,068.74 $11,440.76 +$93.24
(+0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $614.78 18 $11,066.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET $610.83 18 $10,994.94 $11,369.57 $-71.19
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:45am ET $604.99 18 $10,889.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 11:30am ET $604.01 18 $10,872.09 $11,351.84 $-17.73
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $607.82 18 $10,940.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 1:15pm ET $606.75 18 $10,921.50 $11,332.58 $-19.26
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $601.82 18 $10,832.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $600.71 18 $10,812.78 $11,312.60 $-19.98
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $607.90 18 $10,942.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $602.99 18 $10,853.82 $11,224.31 $-88.29
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:35am ET $598.33 18 $10,769.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $601.49 18 $10,826.82 $11,281.19 +$56.88
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:05pm ET $610.23 18 $10,984.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $600.02 18 $10,800.36 $11,097.41 $-183.78
(-1.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:05am ET $597.72 18 $10,758.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $598.63 18 $10,775.34 $11,113.79 +$16.38
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET $610.75 18 $10,993.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET $608.64 18 $10,955.52 $11,075.81 $-37.98
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
50m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 2:45pm ET $595.04 18 $10,710.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 3:20pm ET $594.09 18 $10,693.62 $11,058.71 $-17.10
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
35m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:30am ET $603.11 18 $10,855.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:30am ET $603.55 18 $10,863.90 $11,066.63 +$7.92
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 2:00pm ET $600.83 18 $10,814.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 2:25pm ET $599.30 18 $10,787.40 $11,039.09 $-27.54
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $587.31 18 $10,571.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $589.13 18 $10,604.34 $11,071.85 +$32.76
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $589.25 18 $10,606.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 11:20am ET $586.87 18 $10,563.66 $11,029.01 $-42.84
(-0.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $567.08 19 $10,774.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $563.01 19 $10,697.19 $10,951.68 $-77.33
(-0.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $584.91 18 $10,528.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $581.61 18 $10,468.98 $10,892.26 $-59.42
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $587.70 18 $10,578.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $606.02 18 $10,908.36 $11,222.04 +$329.78
(+3.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $610.84 18 $10,995.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $609.78 18 $10,976.04 $11,202.87 $-19.17
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $626.76 17 $10,654.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $639.94 17 $10,878.98 $11,426.93 +$224.06
(+2.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $648.24 17 $11,020.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $646.62 17 $10,992.54 $11,399.39 $-27.54
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:50am ET $654.12 17 $11,120.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $654.21 17 $11,121.49 $11,400.84 +$1.45
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $662.53 17 $11,263.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $663.04 17 $11,271.68 $11,409.51 +$8.67
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $659.26 17 $11,207.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $658.53 17 $11,195.01 $11,397.10 $-12.41
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
15m held
25 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $674.37 16 $10,789.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $674.11 16 $10,785.76 $11,392.94 $-4.16
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,392.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,392.94
Total Return: +13.93%
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