Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 10:57:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.1

30-Day Momentum

7
-11.4%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,776
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,966.89
Current Value
$8,403.70
Period P&L
$-1,563.09
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
8 / 20
Best Trade
+4.81%
Worst Trade
-4.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.59%
Avg Hold Time
11.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$524,425.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,563.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,563.09
Gross Return
-15.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,966.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:30am ET $75.81 131 $9,931.11
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $73.34 131 $9,607.53 $9,643.21 $-323.58
(-3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:00am ET $63.51 151 $9,590.76
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $63.44 151 $9,579.44 $9,631.88 $-11.33
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:50am ET $64.65 148 $9,568.20
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 12:40pm ET $64.55 148 $9,553.40 $9,617.08 $-14.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:55pm ET $61.30 156 $9,562.80
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $60.83 156 $9,488.70 $9,542.98 $-74.10
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 11:40am ET $66.98 142 $9,511.16
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $70.20 142 $9,968.40 $10,000.22 +$457.24
(+4.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:20am ET $65.83 151 $9,940.33
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:25pm ET $66.84 151 $10,093.19 $10,153.08 +$152.86
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:35am ET $68.71 147 $10,100.37
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET $67.27 147 $9,888.69 $9,941.40 $-211.68
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $64.18 154 $9,884.49
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $63.81 154 $9,827.51 $9,884.42 $-56.98
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $62.56 157 $9,821.92
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:45am ET $61.93 157 $9,723.01 $9,785.51 $-98.91
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:00am ET $59.99 163 $9,778.37
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:05pm ET $57.59 163 $9,387.17 $9,394.31 $-391.20
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $57.17 164 $9,376.70
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 12:35pm ET $57.99 164 $9,510.36 $9,527.97 +$133.66
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET $58.81 162 $9,527.22
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:30am ET $58.69 162 $9,508.59 $9,509.34 $-18.63
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $57.27 166 $9,506.82
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $56.34 166 $9,352.44 $9,354.96 $-154.38
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $56.40 165 $9,305.18
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $56.65 165 $9,347.25 $9,397.04 +$42.08
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:45pm ET $56.05 167 $9,360.50
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $55.92 167 $9,338.64 $9,375.18 $-21.86
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $53.94 173 $9,332.48
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $53.40 173 $9,239.06 $9,281.76 $-93.42
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:25am ET $52.21 177 $9,240.29
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $52.33 177 $9,262.41 $9,303.89 +$22.13
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $57.42 162 $9,302.85
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $58.71 162 $9,511.02 $9,512.06 +$208.17
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $57.35 165 $9,462.75
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $57.19 165 $9,436.35 $9,485.66 $-26.40
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $54.32 174 $9,451.68
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $53.20 174 $9,256.80 $9,290.78 $-194.88
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $58.65 158 $9,266.19
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $57.78 158 $9,129.24 $9,153.83 $-136.95
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $60.36 151 $9,114.36
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $59.78 151 $9,026.78 $9,066.25 $-87.58
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $61.76 146 $9,016.23
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:10am ET $61.20 146 $8,935.20 $8,985.22 $-81.03
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $61.88 145 $8,973.32
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:30am ET $62.46 145 $9,056.70 $9,068.60 +$83.38
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $55.03 164 $9,025.74
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET $52.77 164 $8,654.28 $8,697.14 $-371.46
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $57.40 151 $8,666.65
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $57.15 151 $8,628.90 $8,659.39 $-37.75
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
27 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:50am ET $55.08 157 $8,647.40
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $55.78 157 $8,757.46 $8,769.45 +$110.06
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
28 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $45.94 190 $8,728.60
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $44.01 190 $8,362.85 $8,403.70 $-365.75
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,403.70
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,596.30
Total Return: -15.96%
Back to Grace Crossover