Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 09:20:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 4.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

21
+4.2%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 26.7 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,914
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,355.06
Current Value
$8,705.41
Period P&L
$-649.56
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
11 / 18
Best Trade
+8.46%
Worst Trade
-4.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
12.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$507,656.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-649.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-649.56
Gross Return
-6.94%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,355.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $56.40 165 $9,305.18
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $56.65 165 $9,347.25 $9,397.04 +$42.08
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 12:45pm ET $56.05 167 $9,360.50
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $55.92 167 $9,338.64 $9,375.18 $-21.86
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $53.94 173 $9,332.48
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $53.40 173 $9,239.06 $9,281.76 $-93.42
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 11:25am ET $52.21 177 $9,240.29
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $52.33 177 $9,262.41 $9,303.89 +$22.13
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $57.42 162 $9,302.85
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $58.71 162 $9,511.02 $9,512.06 +$208.17
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:50pm ET $57.35 165 $9,462.75
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $57.19 165 $9,436.35 $9,485.66 $-26.40
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $54.32 174 $9,451.68
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $53.20 174 $9,256.80 $9,290.78 $-194.88
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $58.65 158 $9,266.19
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:45am ET $57.78 158 $9,129.24 $9,153.83 $-136.95
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $60.36 151 $9,114.36
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $59.78 151 $9,026.78 $9,066.25 $-87.58
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $61.76 146 $9,016.23
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 11:10am ET $61.20 146 $8,935.20 $8,985.22 $-81.03
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $61.88 145 $8,973.32
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 11:30am ET $62.46 145 $9,056.70 $9,068.60 +$83.38
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $55.03 164 $9,025.74
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:10am ET $52.77 164 $8,654.28 $8,697.14 $-371.46
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:15pm ET $57.40 151 $8,666.65
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $57.15 151 $8,628.90 $8,659.39 $-37.75
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 11:50am ET $55.08 157 $8,647.40
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:55am ET $55.78 157 $8,757.46 $8,769.45 +$110.06
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held
15 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $45.94 190 $8,728.60
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 2:55pm ET $44.01 190 $8,362.85 $8,403.70 $-365.75
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
16 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $44.07 190 $8,373.30
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:40pm ET $45.15 190 $8,577.55 $8,607.95 +$204.25
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
17 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $42.58 202 $8,600.15
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $42.35 202 $8,554.70 $8,562.50 $-45.45
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
18 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:00am ET $41.26 207 $8,539.79
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $41.89 207 $8,671.23 $8,693.94 +$131.44
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
19 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 10:55am ET $43.15 201 $8,673.15
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $42.85 201 $8,613.85 $8,634.64 $-59.30
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
20 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $47.13 183 $8,624.79
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $46.01 183 $8,418.92 $8,428.77 $-205.88
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.7h held
21 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $45.18 186 $8,403.48
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $45.22 186 $8,409.99 $8,435.28 +$6.51
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
22 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $47.05 179 $8,421.95
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 11:00am ET $46.59 179 $8,339.63 $8,352.96 $-82.32
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
23 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $46.02 181 $8,329.62
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $46.39 181 $8,396.59 $8,419.93 +$66.97
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
24 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $47.19 178 $8,399.82
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:20am ET $46.76 178 $8,323.28 $8,343.39 $-76.54
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:30am ET $46.60 179 $8,341.40
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $46.44 179 $8,312.78 $8,314.77 $-28.62
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $43.62 190 $8,287.80
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:45am ET $41.85 190 $7,951.50 $7,978.47 $-336.30
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $42.60 187 $7,966.20
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:10pm ET $41.92 187 $7,839.04 $7,851.31 $-127.16
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $44.66 175 $7,815.50
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $48.44 175 $8,477.00 $8,512.81 +$661.50
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:45am ET $50.79 167 $8,481.93
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $51.94 167 $8,674.53 $8,705.41 +$192.60
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,705.41
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,294.59
Total Return: -12.95%
Back to Grace Crossover