Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:08:21

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.0/10
Raw Quality 2.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 2.0

30-Day Momentum

7
-4.7%
30d Return
11%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,991
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$6,456.41
Current Value
$5,267.48
Period P&L
$-1,188.93
Max Drawdown
-33.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
7 / 23
Best Trade
+1.64%
Worst Trade
-12.47%
Avg Trade Return
-0.69%
Avg Hold Time
23h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$331,971.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,188.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,188.93
Gross Return
-18.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $6,456.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $738.45 8 $5,907.60
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $728.51 8 $5,828.08 $6,432.57 $-79.52
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $750.07 8 $6,000.56
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $749.33 8 $5,994.64 $6,426.65 $-5.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $752.23 8 $6,017.88
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $748.91 8 $5,991.29 $6,400.06 $-26.59
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $776.58 8 $6,212.64
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:35am ET $761.98 8 $6,095.88 $6,283.30 $-116.76
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $766.53 8 $6,132.24
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $764.34 8 $6,114.72 $6,265.78 $-17.52
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $744.05 8 $5,952.40
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 11:00am ET $746.95 8 $5,975.60 $6,288.98 +$23.20
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $754.12 8 $6,032.96
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $753.30 8 $6,026.40 $6,282.42 $-6.56
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $750.62 8 $6,004.96
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $749.13 8 $5,993.04 $6,270.50 $-11.92
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $749.96 8 $5,999.68
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $746.76 8 $5,974.04 $6,244.86 $-25.64
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:50am ET $743.52 8 $5,948.12
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET $749.28 8 $5,994.24 $6,290.98 +$46.12
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $746.19 8 $5,969.52
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $745.54 8 $5,964.32 $6,285.78 $-5.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $751.73 8 $6,013.84
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:25am ET $745.55 8 $5,964.40 $6,236.34 $-49.44
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $705.25 8 $5,642.00
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $707.92 8 $5,663.36 $6,257.70 +$21.36
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $702.52 8 $5,620.12
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $702.27 8 $5,618.16 $6,255.74 $-1.96
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $712.65 8 $5,701.16
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:55am ET $712.42 8 $5,699.36 $6,253.94 $-1.80
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
16 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $706.99 8 $5,655.96
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 2:05pm ET $718.62 8 $5,748.96 $6,346.94 +$93.00
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
17 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:45am ET $721.42 8 $5,771.32
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 11:35am ET $717.42 8 $5,739.36 $6,314.98 $-31.96
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
18 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 1:00pm ET $699.23 9 $6,293.07
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $612.01 9 $5,508.09 $5,530.00 $-784.98
(-12.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
19 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:10am ET $629.58 8 $5,036.60
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 1:10pm ET $632.45 8 $5,059.60 $5,553.00 +$23.00
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
20 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $647.93 8 $5,183.44
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $642.12 8 $5,136.96 $5,506.52 $-46.48
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
21 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $630.61 8 $5,044.92
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $629.67 8 $5,037.36 $5,498.96 $-7.56
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
22 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $622.21 8 $4,977.68
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $607.54 8 $4,860.32 $5,381.60 $-117.36
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:10am ET $598.38 8 $4,787.04
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $596.97 8 $4,775.76 $5,370.32 $-11.28
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $628.07 8 $5,024.56
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 11:00am ET $622.26 8 $4,978.08 $5,323.84 $-46.48
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $638.04 8 $5,104.32
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $635.48 8 $5,083.84 $5,303.36 $-20.48
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $616.02 8 $4,928.16
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $614.29 8 $4,914.32 $5,289.52 $-13.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:45am ET $605.08 8 $4,840.64
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $614.52 8 $4,916.16 $5,365.04 +$75.52
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:50am ET $614.15 8 $4,913.16
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 11:00am ET $612.29 8 $4,898.32 $5,350.20 $-14.84
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:40am ET $613.48 8 $4,907.84
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:05am ET $600.49 8 $4,803.92 $5,246.28 $-103.92
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.9d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:25am ET $622.96 8 $4,983.68
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $625.61 8 $5,004.88 $5,267.48 +$21.20
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,267.48
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,732.52
Total Return: -47.33%
Back to Grace Crossover