Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:26

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
15.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

51
+19.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.6 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+21 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,557.64
Current Value
$16,274.43
Period P&L
$716.74
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
8 / 18
Best Trade
+9.27%
Worst Trade
-5.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
18.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$822,437.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$716.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$716.74
Gross Return
+4.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $15,557.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $14.46 1,076 $15,554.55
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $14.98 1,076 $16,123.86 $16,127.00 +$569.31
(+3.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
5.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET $14.97 1,077 $16,117.31
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:55am ET $14.84 1,077 $15,977.30 $15,986.99 $-140.01
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $14.56 1,097 $15,973.09
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 11:45am ET $15.76 1,097 $17,283.24 $17,297.14 +$1,310.15
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 11:45am ET $15.59 1,109 $17,283.77
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 1:05pm ET $15.53 1,109 $17,222.77 $17,236.14 $-61.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $15.81 1,090 $17,232.90
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $15.17 1,090 $16,535.30 $16,538.54 $-697.60
(-4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $17.04 970 $16,528.80
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $17.07 970 $16,555.96 $16,565.70 +$27.16
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $16.07 1,030 $16,552.10
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 12:15pm ET $16.48 1,030 $16,969.25 $16,982.85 +$417.15
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $15.60 1,088 $16,967.36
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 2:10pm ET $15.58 1,088 $16,951.04 $16,966.53 $-16.32
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 2:40pm ET $15.36 1,104 $16,962.96
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $14.63 1,104 $16,151.52 $16,155.09 $-811.44
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:30am ET $14.16 1,140 $16,142.40
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:50am ET $13.98 1,140 $15,931.50 $15,944.19 $-210.90
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $14.94 1,066 $15,931.37
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:05am ET $14.82 1,066 $15,803.45 $15,816.27 $-127.92
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $14.68 1,077 $15,810.36
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $14.37 1,077 $15,475.74 $15,481.65 $-334.62
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $14.11 1,097 $15,478.56
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $14.10 1,097 $15,462.22 $15,465.30 $-16.35
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $14.35 1,078 $15,463.91
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $14.18 1,078 $15,280.65 $15,282.04 $-183.26
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 2:55pm ET $13.90 1,099 $15,280.50
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:20pm ET $13.82 1,099 $15,193.67 $15,195.22 $-86.82
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:35am ET $12.86 1,181 $15,187.66
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $12.27 1,181 $14,496.77 $14,504.33 $-690.89
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $12.64 1,147 $14,492.35
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $11.94 1,147 $13,695.18 $13,707.16 $-797.17
(-5.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $13.57 1,010 $13,705.70
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $13.53 1,010 $13,665.30 $13,666.76 $-40.40
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $16.10 848 $13,657.04
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $16.85 848 $14,288.80 $14,298.52 +$631.76
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:05am ET $16.85 848 $14,293.04
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:40am ET $18.42 848 $15,618.63 $15,624.11 +$1,325.59
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $16.53 945 $15,620.85
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:45am ET $17.91 945 $16,924.95 $16,928.21 +$1,304.10
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:25pm ET $17.88 946 $16,914.48
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $17.47 946 $16,526.62 $16,540.35 $-387.86
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $18.77 881 $16,533.29
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $17.92 881 $15,787.52 $15,794.58 $-745.77
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:55pm ET $18.63 847 $15,779.61
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:25am ET $18.61 847 $15,762.67 $15,777.64 $-16.94
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $16.88 934 $15,765.64
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $16.74 934 $15,630.49 $15,642.49 $-135.15
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $18.67 837 $15,630.97
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $19.43 837 $16,262.91 $16,274.43 +$631.94
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,274.43
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,274.43
Total Return: +62.74%
Back to Grace Crossover