Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:49:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.8/35
Total Return
17.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 38.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 37.7

30-Day Momentum

11
+0.2%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 11.7 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,810
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,314.08
Current Value
$21,109.47
Period P&L
$2,795.47
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
14 / 14
Best Trade
+8.04%
Worst Trade
-4.05%
Avg Trade Return
+0.65%
Avg Hold Time
15.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,149,242.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,795.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,795.47
Gross Return
+15.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $18,314.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:45am ET $14.02 1,264 $17,727.60
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $14.48 1,264 $18,302.72 $18,314.00 +$575.12
(+3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $14.97 1,223 $18,302.20
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $15.32 1,223 $18,736.36 $18,748.16 +$434.16
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 2:15pm ET $14.47 1,295 $18,743.83
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $14.43 1,295 $18,680.38 $18,684.71 $-63.45
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 1:50pm ET $15.32 1,219 $18,675.08
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.21 1,219 $18,540.87 $18,550.50 $-134.21
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $14.86 1,248 $18,545.28
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $15.23 1,248 $19,000.80 $19,006.02 +$455.52
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $15.54 1,223 $19,005.42
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $15.30 1,223 $18,711.90 $18,712.50 $-293.52
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:00am ET $14.95 1,251 $18,702.45
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:50pm ET $15.10 1,251 $18,883.85 $18,893.90 +$181.40
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET $15.09 1,252 $18,892.68
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:35am ET $14.95 1,252 $18,723.66 $18,724.88 $-169.02
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:50am ET $15.48 1,209 $18,721.36
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $16.73 1,209 $20,226.57 $20,230.08 +$1,505.20
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $16.33 1,238 $20,222.73
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $16.27 1,238 $20,148.45 $20,155.80 $-74.28
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $15.03 1,341 $20,155.23
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:20pm ET $15.26 1,341 $20,463.66 $20,464.23 +$308.43
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET $15.96 1,282 $20,460.72
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:50am ET $16.03 1,282 $20,553.02 $20,556.53 +$92.30
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $15.35 1,339 $20,553.65
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:50am ET $15.76 1,339 $21,102.91 $21,105.79 +$549.26
(+2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $15.56 1,356 $21,099.36
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 10:55am ET $15.88 1,356 $21,526.50 $21,532.93 +$427.14
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:45am ET $15.11 1,425 $21,531.75
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $14.65 1,425 $20,883.37 $20,884.56 $-648.37
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET $15.03 1,389 $20,876.53
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:20pm ET $15.27 1,389 $21,216.97 $21,225.00 +$340.44
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $14.67 1,447 $21,224.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET $14.63 1,447 $21,169.61 $21,170.01 $-54.99
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:45am ET $15.19 1,393 $21,166.63
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $15.27 1,393 $21,278.07 $21,281.45 +$111.44
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.2h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:10pm ET $15.48 1,375 $21,279.36
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 10:20am ET $15.84 1,375 $21,780.00 $21,782.09 +$500.64
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:30pm ET $16.83 1,294 $21,778.41
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $17.40 1,294 $22,509.13 $22,512.81 +$730.72
(+3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $16.91 1,331 $22,507.21
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $16.86 1,331 $22,440.53 $22,446.13 $-66.68
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $17.46 1,285 $22,436.10
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 1:45pm ET $17.75 1,285 $22,808.75 $22,818.78 +$372.65
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $17.03 1,339 $22,809.86
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $16.34 1,339 $21,885.95 $21,894.87 $-923.91
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:25pm ET $16.72 1,309 $21,886.35
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $16.45 1,309 $21,533.05 $21,541.57 $-353.30
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:40am ET $16.11 1,337 $21,539.07
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:50am ET $16.05 1,337 $21,458.72 $21,461.22 $-80.35
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
26 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $15.23 1,409 $21,452.03
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $15.16 1,409 $21,367.48 $21,376.68 $-84.54
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
27 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $14.69 1,455 $21,373.95
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 10:00am ET $14.61 1,455 $21,264.82 $21,267.56 $-109.12
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
28 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:35am ET $14.45 1,472 $21,266.57
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET $14.34 1,472 $21,108.48 $21,109.47 $-158.09
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,109.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,109.47
Total Return: +111.09%
Back to Grace Crossover