Compendium › Grace Crossover › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 24 trades in period

-16.67%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,127.58
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$14,553.71
Period Start
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PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:04:25

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.3/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 23.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 22.9

30-Day Momentum

3
-5.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,553.71
Current Value
$12,127.58
Period P&L
$-2,426.13
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
8 / 16
Best Trade
+2.72%
Worst Trade
-7.06%
Avg Trade Return
-0.74%
Avg Hold Time
13.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$630,651.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,426.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,426.13
Gross Return
-16.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,553.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $62.97 231 $14,547.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $62.88 231 $14,525.30 $14,531.79 $-21.92
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $64.50 225 $14,512.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 12:30pm ET $63.96 225 $14,391.00 $14,410.29 $-121.50
(-0.8%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $68.46 210 $14,375.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $63.62 210 $13,360.83 $13,395.57 $-1,014.72
(-7.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:20am ET $65.89 203 $13,374.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 11:05am ET $65.54 203 $13,304.62 $13,325.53 $-70.04
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:55am ET $64.69 205 $13,261.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $64.74 205 $13,270.68 $13,334.98 +$9.45
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $68.94 193 $13,306.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $68.86 193 $13,290.94 $13,319.54 $-15.44
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $67.50 197 $13,297.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:20pm ET $67.86 197 $13,368.42 $13,390.72 +$71.18
(+0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $71.89 186 $13,370.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:10am ET $72.10 186 $13,410.60 $13,430.71 +$39.99
(+0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $71.47 187 $13,364.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:25pm ET $71.27 187 $13,327.49 $13,393.29 $-37.42
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
25m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 1:05pm ET $72.38 185 $13,390.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:35pm ET $72.19 185 $13,356.07 $13,359.07 $-34.22
(-0.3%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $70.40 189 $13,305.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $70.29 189 $13,283.87 $13,337.32 $-21.75
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $69.17 192 $13,280.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $68.80 192 $13,209.60 $13,266.28 $-71.04
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:55pm ET $68.01 195 $13,262.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $65.68 195 $12,807.60 $12,810.96 $-455.32
(-3.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:05pm ET $64.71 197 $12,747.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:55am ET $66.47 197 $13,094.59 $13,157.68 +$346.72
(+2.7%) 		DEATH_CROSS
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $73.28 179 $13,117.12 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:15am ET $72.54 179 $12,984.66 $13,025.22 $-132.46
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
16 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $77.40 168 $13,004.04 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:30am ET $76.46 168 $12,845.30 $12,866.48 $-158.74
(-1.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:10pm ET $69.49 185 $12,855.65 — — —
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 2:10pm ET $69.49 185 $12,855.65 $12,866.48 $0.00
(+0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2h held
18 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 11:40am ET $68.57 187 $12,821.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $68.64 187 $12,835.68 $12,880.50 +$14.02
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
19 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $67.79 190 $12,880.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:05pm ET $68.39 190 $12,993.15 $12,993.55 +$113.05
(+0.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $68.59 189 $12,963.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $66.19 189 $12,509.91 $12,539.95 $-453.60
(-3.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.3d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET $61.87 202 $12,496.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $61.97 202 $12,518.95 $12,562.17 +$22.22
(+0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $58.90 213 $12,545.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:40pm ET $57.81 213 $12,312.47 $12,328.93 $-233.24
(-1.9%) 		DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $64.29 191 $12,278.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $63.63 191 $12,154.28 $12,204.78 $-124.15
(-1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
3h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $59.99 203 $12,177.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:40am ET $59.61 203 $12,100.77 $12,127.58 $-77.20
(-0.6%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,127.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,127.58
Total Return: +21.28%
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