Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:07:36

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.6/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 23.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 23.3

30-Day Momentum

56
+18.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 67.0 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+33 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,668.43
Current Value
$13,987.71
Period P&L
$2,319.27
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
13 / 16
Best Trade
+13.27%
Worst Trade
-4.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.71%
Avg Hold Time
20.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$703,046.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,319.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,319.27
Gross Return
+19.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,668.43 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $21.99 530 $11,654.70
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $21.60 530 $11,448.00 $11,461.74 $-206.70
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $23.87 480 $11,458.27
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $23.41 480 $11,236.80 $11,240.27 $-221.47
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET $21.87 513 $11,219.31
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $21.83 513 $11,198.79 $11,219.75 $-20.52
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $21.35 525 $11,208.70
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $21.45 525 $11,261.25 $11,272.30 +$52.55
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $23.00 489 $11,249.44
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $21.99 489 $10,753.11 $10,775.97 $-496.33
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET $22.42 480 $10,761.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.32 480 $10,711.20 $10,725.57 $-50.40
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $23.49 456 $10,712.58
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $23.43 456 $10,686.36 $10,699.35 $-26.22
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $25.27 423 $10,691.32
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $25.07 423 $10,604.61 $10,612.64 $-86.71
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $27.37 387 $10,592.19
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET $27.36 387 $10,590.25 $10,610.70 $-1.94
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $28.46 372 $10,585.52
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $28.16 372 $10,475.52 $10,500.70 $-110.00
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET $29.05 361 $10,487.05
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $29.05 361 $10,487.05 $10,500.70 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $27.50 381 $10,477.50
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $28.83 381 $10,986.13 $11,009.33 +$508.63
(+4.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $27.63 398 $10,994.75
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $27.75 398 $11,046.49 $11,061.07 +$51.74
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
14 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $27.68 399 $11,046.31
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 399 $12,512.64 $12,527.40 +$1,466.33
(+13.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $33.74 371 $12,519.39
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $34.79 371 $12,908.94 $12,916.95 +$389.55
(+3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
16 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 1:20pm ET $32.08 402 $12,896.16
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:00am ET $32.16 402 $12,928.32 $12,949.11 +$32.16
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
17 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $32.88 393 $12,923.80
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $31.55 393 $12,399.15 $12,424.46 $-524.65
(-4.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
18 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $30.28 410 $12,416.85
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:50am ET $30.17 410 $12,367.65 $12,375.26 $-49.20
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
19 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $33.57 368 $12,353.76
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $33.09 368 $12,177.12 $12,198.62 $-176.64
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
20 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $36.25 336 $12,180.00
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:30am ET $37.05 336 $12,448.77 $12,467.39 +$268.77
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
21 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $44.36 281 $12,465.16
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $47.94 281 $13,469.74 $13,471.97 +$1,004.58
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
30m held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $49.94 269 $13,433.89
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $49.70 269 $13,370.59 $13,408.67 $-63.30
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:55pm ET $47.09 284 $13,372.93
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $47.24 284 $13,417.58 $13,453.31 +$44.64
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:30pm ET $42.06 319 $13,417.14
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $44.08 319 $14,061.52 $14,097.69 +$644.38
(+4.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $29.61 476 $14,094.36
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:40am ET $29.83 476 $14,199.03 $14,202.36 +$104.67
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $31.09 456 $14,179.32
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:20am ET $29.73 456 $13,554.60 $13,577.64 $-624.72
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $29.27 463 $13,554.32
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $28.08 463 $13,003.35 $13,026.67 $-550.97
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $30.53 426 $13,005.78
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $33.83 426 $14,413.71 $14,434.60 +$1,407.93
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.7d held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $34.23 421 $14,411.46
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 9:40am ET $33.17 421 $13,964.57 $13,987.71 $-446.89
(-3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,987.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,987.71
Total Return: +39.88%
Back to Grace Crossover