Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 19.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.1

30-Day Momentum

67
+16.2%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
5.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 79.1 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+47 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,665.06
Current Value
$12,527.40
Period P&L
$-1,137.67
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
5 / 20
Best Trade
+13.27%
Worst Trade
-5.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
16h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$589,024.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,137.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,137.67
Gross Return
-8.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,665.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:00am ET $33.56 407 $13,660.95
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET $33.49 407 $13,630.39 $13,634.50 $-30.57
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $30.45 447 $13,611.15
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 12:50pm ET $30.24 447 $13,517.91 $13,541.26 $-93.24
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 1:50pm ET $32.14 421 $13,530.94
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $32.03 421 $13,486.73 $13,497.06 $-44.20
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:30am ET $30.97 435 $13,471.95
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 11:15am ET $30.72 435 $13,363.20 $13,388.31 $-108.75
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 12:35pm ET $32.61 410 $13,370.10
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.88 410 $12,660.80 $12,679.01 $-709.30
(-5.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:50am ET $30.64 413 $12,654.32
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $30.37 413 $12,542.81 $12,567.50 $-111.51
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $32.08 391 $12,541.33
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $31.56 391 $12,339.96 $12,366.13 $-201.37
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $32.12 385 $12,365.31
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 11:20am ET $32.08 385 $12,349.64 $12,350.46 $-15.67
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 11:45am ET $31.34 394 $12,347.96
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 12:30pm ET $31.09 394 $12,250.01 $12,252.51 $-97.95
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 12:55pm ET $30.67 399 $12,239.32
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $30.43 399 $12,141.57 $12,154.76 $-97.75
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $31.97 380 $12,148.60
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $30.69 380 $11,662.28 $11,668.44 $-486.32
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $21.99 530 $11,654.70
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $21.60 530 $11,448.00 $11,461.74 $-206.70
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $23.87 480 $11,458.27
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $23.41 480 $11,236.80 $11,240.27 $-221.47
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET $21.87 513 $11,219.31
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 12:25pm ET $21.83 513 $11,198.79 $11,219.75 $-20.52
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $21.35 525 $11,208.70
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $21.45 525 $11,261.25 $11,272.30 +$52.55
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $23.00 489 $11,249.44
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $21.99 489 $10,753.11 $10,775.97 $-496.33
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET $22.42 480 $10,761.60
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 2:35pm ET $22.32 480 $10,711.20 $10,725.57 $-50.40
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $23.49 456 $10,712.58
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $23.43 456 $10,686.36 $10,699.35 $-26.22
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $25.27 423 $10,691.32
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $25.07 423 $10,604.61 $10,612.64 $-86.71
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $27.37 387 $10,592.19
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 10:45am ET $27.36 387 $10,590.25 $10,610.70 $-1.94
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $28.46 372 $10,585.52
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $28.16 372 $10,475.52 $10,500.70 $-110.00
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:50am ET $29.05 361 $10,487.05
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $29.05 361 $10,487.05 $10,500.70 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $27.50 381 $10,477.50
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $28.83 381 $10,986.13 $11,009.33 +$508.63
(+4.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
24 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $27.63 398 $10,994.75
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $27.75 398 $11,046.49 $11,061.07 +$51.74
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
25 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $27.68 399 $11,046.31
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $31.36 399 $12,512.64 $12,527.40 +$1,466.33
(+13.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
19h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,527.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,527.40
Total Return: +25.27%
Back to Grace Crossover